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[WTS/WTT] World Silver: American Philippines, Prussia, Japanese, Iran, British, Panama, etc
2020.07.09 21:45 RDV_SAL[WTS/WTT] World Silver: American Philippines, Prussia, Japanese, Iran, British, Panama, etc
Private messages only, Chat messages are awful on mobile Proof and pics: https://m.imgur.com/a/dfMHaxo 1916 Iran 2k dinar: https://imgur.com/a/GyMc3tr Silver* Take everything for $225 shipped in the U.S 1903, 1919(sold)and 1944 10 centavos- $8 1917 and 1944 20 centavos- $6 each 1903 (sold) and 1944 (scratch above "OVS") 50 centavos- $10 each 1907 Philippines Peso- $25 1916 Iran 2k dinar- $20 (4) German half Marks, one cleaned and one AUish- $18 1917 Australia 3 pence- $4 1915 Great Britain sixpence- $4 (2) 1943 British India 1/4 Rupee- $7 each 1910 Canada 25 cents- $5 1932 Panama 1/4 Balboa- $7 1903-H Canada 5 cent- $5 1950 Australia 3 pence- $2 1917 Great Britain 3 pence- $2 1912 Great Britain 3 pence- $2 1918 Great Britain 3 pence, AUish- $4 1919 Great Britain 3 pence- $2 1911 Great Britain 3 pence- $2 1903 Canada 10 cent, key date 500k mintage- $10 1880 Spain 50 centesimos- $8 1920 Australia one shilling- $10 1904 Panama 5 centesimo- $8 SOLD 1944 Dominican 25 centavos- $4 1910 British shilling (cleaned)- $5 1781 Prussia 3 Groschen- $20 1895 Japan 20 Sen- $22 1917 Japan "Taisho" 10 sen- $25 1965 Morocco 5 Dirham- $6 COPPER https://imgur.com/a/J9vYmj3 1894 Greece 20 lepta- $1 1896 Greece 5 lepta- $1 1936 Germany 10 reichspfennig- $2 1964 Ireland Penny, AUish- $5 SOLD 1894 Italy 10 centisme- $4 1957 South Africa 1/4 penny- $2 1912 Belgium one cent- $2 SOLD 1950 Monaco 10 francs- $2 (3) coin Ceylon set- $4 1962 British Borneo cent- $2 1970 Belgium 50 centime- $2 1973 State of Qatar dirham- $2 1952 Macau 10 avos- $5 SOLD 1950 Somalia centesimo- $2 Take it all for $20 shipped snail mail Trades/Countries I am looking for American junk silver around 13.5-15x FV depending on what it is Pre-Victorian British or 1600s English Chinese Imperial and Republic Russian Imperial from 1700-1900s including territorial coins(Partition of Poland, Finland) Korean empire Mongolia Japanese Samurai/Imperial Japan and Protectorate (currently own a 1/16 ryo, Ansei & Kaei Shu, Tempo and Ansei Bu Gin) Southeast Asian(Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia, Burma) milled silver only for Cambodia German States from the 1600s-1800s. Preference to Prussian, Saxon Alberitne line but looking for Wildman silver from Hannover and other states with that design Iran/Persia and Afghanistan from the 1930s and back, preference for the chunky rupees from Afghanistan Napoleonic, france and other territories under Napoleon's rule. Any Bonaparte ruled country from the Napoleonic era Poland-Lithuania Payment I have Venmo now! You can send payment electronically that way as well as money orders or checks if we've done business before. Shipping If not stated shipping is $4-5 for the continental United States depending on the distance, Hawaii and Alaska will cost more. International will be at cost, tracked in a flat-rate envelope is $26 outside of the United States
2020.07.06 13:32 SMOKEY76228[IC] GMK Hanguk 대한민국 Cable and Artisan Collabs
Opening Teaser Welcome to the Land of the Morning Calm, once again! I am very honored and proud to announce 4 new Collaborations in total. 2 Cable Manufacturer and 2 Artisan Artists will contribute to GMK Hanguk:
1.) Keebstuff Kabelmanufaktur - After GMK Masterpiece, GMK Lux and GMK Sumi, I was able to win him over for GMK Hanguk. He is doing an awesome job and I am looking forward to work with him to figure out 2 designs for Custom Cables. 2.) Space Cables - Together we will bring you some really awesome color combination custom cables to go along with GMK Hanguk. Stay tuned while the prototypes are being build. They are awesome enough to order PANTONE Color Samples to match the colors perfectly. ----------
1.) Golden Star Keycaps - The guys over at GSK will create their awesome LAHAN Character in a GMK Hanguk Colorway. I specifically picked LAHAN since I think it fits the asian vibe of my Set perfectly.A prototype is in the works at the moment and the picture of it will be presented here, once it's ready to share with you guys! 2.) Artkey Universe - These incredible artists will contribute not only 1, but 3 Artisans to go along with GMK Hanguk: Their famous Characters BULL V2, SIRIUS and DEVOURER.Here, prototypes are expected in late August and, of course, I will share them with you as soon as they are available. ---------- Again, you can find more informations about my Keyset here: Geekhack IC Post Please consider filling out the IC Form here: Interest Check Form Also, if you want to stay even more up to date, you can join the MyKeyboard.euDiscord Server (Where this set has #ic-gmk-hanguk to discuss) or follow me on INSTAGRAM. ---------- In October, when this Set is entering GroupBuy phase, vendors will be:
2020.07.05 20:32 m_polymathBbc in search of international women.
When I was in college I "dated" a handful of exchange students. I enjoyed learning about new cultures. I was also always impressed by how the language barrier always seems to fade away once we started making out. I would like to meet am international woman for some NSA fun. I would like a foreign borne woman (can be a U.S. citizen), NOT from any country that English is the primary language (Canada, England, Australia, etc), an accent is a plus, but not required. I love everyone, but lean Asian and Latina. End the end race isn't as important. Age range from 25-45. If you're out of the age range (and still 18+) but check most of these other boxes hit me up anyway. I would prefer a smaller framed woman, but anything up to a few extra pounds is fine by me. Bonus points if you have never been with an American/African-American, have just arrived or plan to leave the country soon, have any girlfriends that would be interested in meeting me as well. Once I had 3 weeks where 1 girl a week would hook up with me the night before they went back home. All of them from the same country, all of them friends, and each of them knowing I had slept with the girl that had left the previous week. It was pretty hot to think that they coordinated it out at the very least talked enough about me to their friends that they all wanted to experience it for themselves. I am 35, black male, 6'2", a few extra pounds, not pushy, can hold a conversation, and respect boundaries. I can also probably get another BBC if you wanted to get more wild, but not a deal breaker either way. Please respond with a pic, your stats, which country you're from, and if you have any fantasies or kinks that you want to experience. Thanks in advance.
2020.07.05 19:57 inkspringWhy don't Chinese people hate their authoritarian government as much as we think they should? — Kaiser Kuo explains
I've been PMed by multiple people to repost this after my original SSC post was deleted, so here it is again: The following was originally written by the talented Kaiser Kuo as an answer to a question posed on Quora, but for the sake of easier readability, shareability, and the mobile users who don't want to create a Quora account, I've decided to repost it in text post form. I've also added the last part of the answer and postscript in the comments because of Reddit's character limit. Apologies in advance if that breaks any rules. Anyway. Why do many people feel that the Chinese can't possibly be basically okay with their government or society? I’m going to attempt an answer in three parts. First, I’ll look at the gap in political culture between China and the liberal western democracies, especially the United States. I’ll argue that there is little appreciation among most WEIRD individuals—that is, Western, Educated people from Industrialized, Rich, and Developed nations—for just how highly contingent political norms they take for granted really are from an historical perspective. I’ll sketch the outlines of the major historical currents that had to converge for these ideas to emerge in the late 18th century. Then, I’ll compare this very exceptional experience with that of China, which only embraced and began to harness those engines of western wealth and power—science, industrialization, state structures capable of total mobilization of manpower and capital—much later. And late to the game, China suffered for over a century the predations of imperial powers, most notably Japan. Hopefully, I’ll show why it was that liberalism never really took hold, why it was that Chinese intellectuals turned instead to authoritarian politics to address the urgent matters of the day, and why authoritarian habits of mind have lingered on. Next, I’ll argue that a lot of unexamined hubris lies not only behind the belief that all people living under authoritarian political systems should be willing to make monumental sacrifices to create liberal democratic states but also behind the belief that it can work at all, given the decidedly poor record of projects for liberal democratic transformation in recent years, whether American-led or otherwise. It’s important to see what the world of recent years looks like through Beijing’s windows, and to understand the extent to which Beijing’s interpretation of that view is shared by a wide swath of China’s citizenry. Finally, I’ll look at the role of media in shaping perspectives of China in the western liberal democracies and in other states. A very small number of individuals—reporters for major mainstream media outlets posted to China, plus their editors—wield a tremendous amount of influence over how China is perceived by ordinary Anglophone media consumers. It's important to know something about the optical properties of the lens through which most of us view China. Part I — The Values Gap: The Historical Contingency of Liberal Western Thought and Institutions One evening, I was chatting online with a friend here in China, another American expatriate living in another city, about the great disconnect in recent Western understandings of China—the thing that this question and answer seeks to get to the heart of. He suggested that at least for Americans (we’re going to use Americans here, mainly, to stand in for the Anglophone western liberal democracies) the question underlying the disconnect boiled down to this: “Why don’t you Chinese hate your government as much as we think you ought to?" The modern Chinese party-state, after all, is a notorious violator of human rights. It cut its own people down in the street in 1989. It prevents with brutal coercion the formation of rival political parties and suppresses dissent through censorship of the Internet and other media. It oppresses minority populations in Tibet and in Xinjiang, depriving them of religious freedoms and the right to national self-determination. It persecutes religious sects like the Falun Gong. It behaves in a bellicose manner with many of its neighbors, like the Philippines, Vietnam, and India. It saber-rattles over disputed islands with its longstanding East Asian adversary, Japan. It presses irredentist claims against Taiwan, which has functioned as an effectively sovereign state since 1949. It has pursued breakneck economic growth without sufficient heed to the devastation of the environment. It has not atoned for the crimes committed during the Cultural Revolution or the Great Leap Forward, when tens of millions died because of absurdly misguided economic policies. It jails rights activists, including a Nobel Peace Prize laureate. I could of course go on. Why then would any American not ask this question? Seems pretty obvious from the perspective of anyone from a liberal western democracy that this is a political system that needs to go, that has failed its people and failed to live up to basic, universal ideas about what rights a government needs to respect and protect. They’ll have heard the argument that China’s leadership has succeeded in other ways: it has allowed China to prosper economically, lifting hundreds of millions out of poverty, creating a substantial and comfortable middle class with expanded personal (if not political) freedom. And the Chinese Communist Party has managed to ensure a relatively long period of political stability, with orderly leadership transitions absent the political violence that had accompanied nearly all others until Deng Xiaoping’s ascent. "Yeah, but so what?" asks the American. "Anyone who would trade a little freedom for a little personal safety deserves neither freedom nor safety,” he asserts, quoting Benjamin Franklin. He quotes this as gospel truth, ignoring the irony that many Americans advocated just such a trade in the aftermath of September 11. That aside, why shouldn't he quote it? It’s deeply engrained in his political culture. Political liberty is held up practically above all else in the values pantheon of American political culture. The American myth of founding sees the Puritan pilgrims, seeking a place where their brand of Protestantism might be practiced freely, crossing the Atlantic in the Mayflower, creating en route a quasi-democratic quasi-constitution, the Mayflower Compact, landing at Plymouth Rock in 1620, and over the next 150 years growing into the colony that would lead its 12 sisters into rebellion for freedom from the "tyranny" of King George III. Americans hold the ideas enshrined in their founding documents very dearly, and can't really be blamed for doing so: they are, after all, some very high-minded and frankly very beautiful ideas. What he doesn’t quite appreciate is the precariousness of the historical perch on which these ideas—ideas he holds so strongly and believes so ardently to be universal truths—ultimately rest. Americans, like everyone else for that matter, tend not to take much time to understand the historical experiences of other peoples, and can't therefore grasp the utter contingency upon which their own marvelous system rests. I'm going to grossly oversimplify here, in this grand backward tour of European history, but the political philosophy that gave rise to modern American political ideals, as even a fairly casual student of history should know, emerged during the 18th century in the Enlightenment—an intellectual movement of tremendous consequence but one that would not have been possible save for the groundwork laid by 17th century naturalists who, taken together, gave us an "Age of Reason" (think Newton and all the natural philosophers of the Royal Academy). Their great work could be pursued because already the intellectual climate had changed in crucial ways—chiefly, that the stultifying effects of rigid, dogmatic theology had been pushed aside enough for the growth of scientific inquiry. That itself owes much to the Protestant Reformation, of course, which people tend to date from 1517 but which actually reaches back over a century earlier with John Wycliffe, Jan Hus, arguably Erasmus, and the other pre-Lutheran reformers. And would the Reformation have been possible without the rediscovery of classical learning that was the animating spirit of the Renaissance? Would the Renaissance have been possible without the late medieval thinkers, such as Abelard, who sought out to subject theology to the rigors of Aristotelian logic and reason? Would all this have been possible, if not for the continuous struggles between Emperor and Pope, between Guelph and Ghibelline factions—partisans for the temporal power of the Vatican and Holy Roman Emperor? The fact is that this series of historical movements, eventually carving out politics that was quite separate from—indeed, explicitly separate from—theocratic control, was only really happening in this small, jagged peninsula on the far western end of the great Eurasian landmass. And in the rest of the world—the whole rest of the world—none of this was happening. Political theology remained the rule with rare, rare exceptions. What we've now taken as the norm and the correct form for the whole world—liberal, secular, democratic, capitalistic—is truly exceptional, recent, rare, fragile, and quite contingent. Let’s turn and look for a moment at China, which is arguably much more typical. China is a civilization that didn’t until much later and perhaps still doesn't fit neatly into the modern conception of the nation-state; a massive continental agrarian empire, a civilization with an integrated cosmology, moral philosophy, and political philosophy which together formed the basis of a holistic orthodoxy, deep knowledge of which was required for any man (alas, only men) who wished to climb the only real available ladder of success: the Civil Service Exams. The China that the West—in this case, chiefly the British—encountered in the late 1700s was really at or just past its peak, ruled by a reasonably competent and conscientious Manchu emperor who history knows as Qianlong, ruling a land empire matching, roughly, the contours of the contemporary People’s Republic, almost entirely self-sufficient but willing to sell its silk, porcelain, and especially its tea to anyone who brought minted silver bullion—two-thirds of the world’s supply of which, by the time of the American Revolution, was already in Chinese coffers. What followed was a crisis that lasted, with no meaningful interruption, right up to 1949. Foreign invasion, large-scale drug addiction, massive internal civil wars (the Taiping Civil War of 1852-1863 killed some 20 million people), a disastrous anti-foreign uprising (the Boxers) stupidly supported by the Qing court with baleful consequence, and a belated effort at reform that only seems to have hastened dynastic collapse. The ostensible republic that followed the Qing was built on the flimsiest of foundations. The Republican experiment under the early Kuomintang was short-lived and, in no time, military strongmen took over—first, ex-dynastic generals like Yuan Shikai, then the militarists who scrambled for power after he died in 1916. China disintegrated into what were basically feuding warlord satrapies, waging war in different constellations of factional alliance. Meanwhile, China's impotence was laid bare at Versailles, where the great powers handed to Japan the colonial possessions of the defeated Germany, despite China having entered the Great War on the side of the Allies. During this time, liberalism appeared as a possible solution, an alternative answer to the question of how to rescue China from its dire plight. Liberalism was the avowed ideology of many of the intellectuals of the period of tremendous ferment known as the May Fourth Period, which takes its name from the student-led protests on that date in 1919, demonstrating against the warlord regime then in power which had failed to protect Chinese interests at Versailles at the end of World War I. (The May Fourth period is also referred to as the New Culture Movement, which stretched from roughly 1915 to 1925). The "New Youth" of this movement advocated all the liberal tenets—democracy, rule of law, universal suffrage, even gender equality. Taking to the streets on May Fourth, they waved banners extolling Mr. Sai (science) and Mr. De (democracy). But with only very few exceptions they really conceived of liberalism not as an end in itself but rather as a means to the decidedly nationalist ends of wealth and power. They believed that liberalism was part of the formula that had allowed the U.S. and Great Britain to become so mighty. It was embraced in a very instrumental fashion. And yet Chinese advocates of liberalism were guilty, too, of not appreciating that same contingency, that whole precarious historical edifice from which the liberalism of the Enlightenment had emerged. Did they think that it could take root in utterly alien soil? In any case, it most surely did not. It must be understood that liberalism and nationalism developed in China in lockstep, with one, in a sense, serving as means to the other. That is, liberalism was a means to serve national ends—the wealth and power of the country. And so when means and end came into conflict, as they inevitably did, the end won out. Nationalism trumped liberalism. Unity, sovereignty, and the means to preserve both were ultimately more important even to those who espoused republicanism and the franchise. China's betrayal at Versailles did not help the cause of liberalism in China. After all, it was the standard bearers of liberalism—the U.K., France, and the United States—that had negotiated secret treaties to give Shandong to the Japanese. Former liberals gravitated toward two main camps, both overtly Leninist in organization, both unapologetically authoritarian: the Nationalists and the Communists. By the mid-1920s, the overwhelming majority of Chinese intellectuals believed that an authoritarian solution was China's only recourse. Some looked to the Soviet Union, and to Bolshevism. Others looked to Italy, and later Germany, and to Fascism. Liberalism became almost irrelevant to the violent discourse on China's future. For anyone coming of age in that time, there are few fond memories. It was war, deprivation, foreign invasion, famine, a fragile and short-lived peace after August 1945, then more war. Violence did not let up after 1949—especially for the hundreds of thousands, perhaps millions, who were "class enemies" on the wrong side of an ideological divide; or for the hundreds of thousands of Chinese soldiers sent to fight and die in Korea so soon after unification. And even with peace, prosperity didn't come: 1955 saw Mao announce a "high tide of collectivization," which was followed by the tragic folly of the Great Leap Forward and ensuing famine, in which tens of millions perished. A friend of mine named Jeremiah Jenne who taught US college students at a program here in Beijing once said something to the effect of, “When Americans create their movie villains, when they populate their nightmares, they create Hitler and the SS again and again: Darth Vader and the Stormtroopers.” The fear of the liberty-loving American, he implied, is of a surfeit of authoritarianism. What of the Chinese? The Chinese nightmare is of chaos—of an absence of authority. And such episodes of history are fresh in the minds of many Chinese alive today—only a handful are old enough to actually remember the Warlord Period but plenty can remember the Cultural Revolution, when Mao bade his Red Guards to go forth and attack all the structures of authority, whether in the classroom, in the hospital, in the factory, or in the home. And so they humiliated, tortured, sometimes imprisoned and sometimes even murdered the teachers, the doctors, the managers, the fathers and mothers. In the 25 years since Deng inaugurated reforms in 1979, China has not experienced significant countrywide political violence. GDP growth has averaged close to 10 percent per annum. Almost any measure of human development has seen remarkable improvement. There are no food shortages and no significant energy shortages. Nearly 700 million Chinese now use the Internet. Over 500 million have smartphones. China has a high speed rail network that's the envy of even much of the developed world. China has, by some measures, even surpassed the U.S. as the world's largest economy. So try telling a Chinese person that anyone willing to trade a little personal liberty for a little personal safety deserves neither liberty nor safety, and they’ll look at you like you’re insane. Therein lies the values gap. Part II — The View through China’s Window: Liberal Hegemonism in US Foreign Policy In the first part, I laid out a case for why it’s quite natural, given the tendency of Americans (as with all people) to ignore or understate historical contingencies and recognize their own privileges and prejudices, for Americans to be puzzled by Chinese acquiescence toward—indeed, by their often quite vocal support for—a political system so execrable by certain American standards. The hubris of some Americans about their own political system seems to me especially natural, even forgivable, in the years following the collapse of the Soviet Union. From the vantage point of 1991, a kind of triumphalism was inevitable: the liberal west, with America at its vanguard, had just vanquished the second of the century’s great ideological enemies. First was Fascism and Naziism with the defeat of the Axis powers in 1945 (never mind that Bolshevik Russia, from the time Hitler invaded Russia, never faced less than two-thirds of German divisions in the field), then Bolshevism with the end of the Cold War. And what was on the minds of Americans—who had watched the Berlin Wall come down, Lech Walesa and Vaclav Havel assume the Polish and Czech presidencies, Yeltsin defend the Russian parliament and Gorbachev declare the Soviet Union’s end—what was on their minds as they turned thoughts to China? Tiananmen, of course, with its incredibly potent imagery: a million people in the Square, Tank Man, and the Goddess of Democracy. Looming ever present in nearly every conversation about American perception of China in the last quarter century—now in the background, now in the fore—is the bloody suppression of the 1989 student-led protests in Beijing. (Fun Fact: The first democratic elections in Poland were held on June 4, 1989, the very day of the crackdown on the Beijing protests). The years that followed the end of the Cold War would see gathering in American foreign policy a new ideology that would come to supplant the realist school that had dominated from the time of Richard Nixon. This is what the MIT political scientist Barry R. Posen calls Liberal Hegemonism: an activist, interventionist thread that believes in the pushing of liberal democratic politics and capitalism through all available means from “soft power,” to operations aimed at destabilizing authoritarian governments, to actual preemptive war (the Bush doctrine) and the “regime change” of the Neoconservatives. Some of its basic assumptions—not all, but some—are shared both by liberal interventionists and NeoCons. For American liberals, it was guilt from failure to act in the Rwandan Genocide, or to the “ethnic cleansing” that characterized the wars during the breakup of Yugoslavia, that gave impetus to this; for NeoCons, it was the unfinished business of Desert Storm. They found much common ground in their support for “color revolutions” in the former Soviet republics. They may have debated tactics but the impulse was to spread American values and institutions, whether or not doing so would serve a specific and definable American interest. That could be done the Gene Sharp way, or the Paul Wolfowitz way. Neither way was something Beijing wanted done to it. And I don’t think it takes a whole lot of empathy to see what things have looked like from Beijing over the last 25 years. Deng Xiaoping, while he was still alive, pursued a policy of “biding its time and hiding its power” as he focused on building China's domestic economy, avoiding any real confrontation and trying to rebuild relationships post-Tiananmen. But it wasn’t long before tensions sparked. In May of 1999, US smart bombs fell on the Chinese embassy in Belgrade, and virtually no Chinese believed the American explanation that it was a mistake, the result of an out-of-date map that showed the embassy as an arms depot. Later, in April of 2001, the collision of an American EP-3 spy plane with a Chinese fighter jet off of Hainan Island, off China’s southern coast, sent another chill through Sino-American relations. And things looked like they might have taken a turn for the worse, had not September 11 taken the pressure off. The “War on Terror,” which China could notionally join in, distracted the U.S., which quickly found itself fighting two long wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Meanwhile, the Chinese economy was in high gear, chugging along at double-digit growth rates right up to the eve of the Financial Crisis. The Sino-American waters were probably never calmer than in the years between 2001 and 2008. Perhaps history will see 2008 as an important turning point in these attitudes: during the same year that China staged its first Olympic games, the financial crisis, which China weathered surprisingly well, walloped the West (and much of the rest of the world) with what was arguably its signal event, the bankruptcy filing by Lehman Brothers on September 15—happening just three weeks almost to the day after the closing ceremony of the Beijing summer games on August 24. It was China’s turn to feel a kind of triumphalism, which often took the form of an unattractive swagger. Meanwhile, a sense of declinism gnawed at the American psyche. After 2008, China became the object of global (read: American) attention again, fueled for some by anxieties over the rapidity of its rise, in others by anger over major flare-ups in western China: riots in Lhasa, Tibet’s capital, in March, 2008, and in Urumqi, Xinjiang’s capital, in July, 2009. Factory conditions became a growing concern as Americans realized that even the most sophisticated electronics they sported—everyone had an iPhone by then, right?—were manufactured in China. Remember, too, that excitement over the political potency of social media was also enjoying something of a heyday in this period of liberal hegemonic ascent. As one color revolution after another was live-tweeted (Moldova was perhaps the first, but not the only, of the street movements to be called “The Twitter Revolution”), as every movement had its own Facebook page and Youtube channel, China’s reaction was to censor. There is, after all, one belief about the Internet that the most hardline Chinese politburo member shares with the staunchest American NeoCon: that the Internet, unfettered, would represent an existential threat to the Communist Party’s hold on power. They have of course very different views as to whether that would be a good thing or a bad thing. But can we really be surprised that, able as they are to open to the op-ed section of any American broadsheet and find this idea that Internet freedom is the key to toppling authoritarian single-party rule, the Communist Party leadership would conclude that their approach to censorship is correct? But this of course has created another potent issue over which Americans, very naturally, express outrage—and puzzled frustration that Chinese aren’t (literally) up in arms over Internet censorship. Beijing obviously lamented the Soviet empire’s incredibly rapid implosion. It doubtlessly chafed at how NATO expanded its membership practically up to the Russian doorstep. It certainly hasn’t loved it that American troops are operating from Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, and were present in great numbers in Afghanistan (which by the way borders China, if only at one end of the narrow Wakhan Corridor). Beijing has surely fretted as American-backed NGOs (the National Endowment for Democracy, or NED, is the big boogeyman for pro-Beijing types—perhaps as Confucius Institutes are the bête noire for their anti-Beijing American counterparts) conspired, or so they believe, with the instigators of color revolutions. And it certainly sees the Pivot to Asia—now rebranded the “Rebalancing”—as a species of containment. But what I suspect really has Beijing freaked out, what really seems to have confirmed that America still has its cherished liberal hegemonic ambition, was the Arab Spring. Is Beijing so wrong, looking out on the smoldering wreckage of Libya and Syria, at the mess that Egypt still remains, to want to avoid that outcome at whatever price? Or to think that America’s true, ultimate intention might be regime change in Beijing? Kissinger once famously said that even a paranoid can have enemies. What does all this foreign policy stuff have to do with Chinese attitudes toward their government? It’s fair to ask this; after all, the question I’m trying to answer isn’t specifically about the Chinese state and how it sees things, but rather the Chinese people, and the attachment they seem to have toward a state that comes up so short by American measure. It’s the rare person who can truly separate, at both an intellectual and an emotional level, criticism of his or her country from criticism of his or her country’s government—especially if that government is not, at present, terribly embattled and is delivering basic public goods in a reasonably competent manner. States tend to try to reinforce that conflation of people with state (and in China’s case, party). They encourage the basic state-as-family metaphor, something that in the Chinese case is part of the deep structure of Confucian political thinking and is therefore probably easier to nurture than to extirpate. I don’t doubt that propaganda has a role in this, but I would assert that its role is generally exaggerated in American thinking about China. In any case, if you’ll indulge some pop psychological speculation, I’ll go out on a limb and posit confidently that external criticism of a leadership will tend to, if anything, reinforce a citizenry’s identification with the state and blur the lines even more between “government” and “people.” Perhaps I’m wrong. But most people I know who are known to bitch occasionally about their own parents get awfully defensive when people outside the family offer unsolicited criticism. This seems especially to be the case with mothers. And so it is that many ordinary Chinese citizens, online and inevitably aware now of the timbre of China discourse in English-language media, tend to elide criticism of the state and Party with criticism of China, and take it personally. They feel a distinct sense of having been singled out for unfair criticism and will reach easily for handy explanations: Hegemonic America can't abide another serious power rising in the world, and just wants to sow discord and strife to keep China down; America needs to create a boogyman, an enemy to replace its fallen Cold War foe and placate its military-industrial complex. And in any case, America doesn't appreciate just how far we've come under the leadership of this party, however imperfect. People will debate what the Party’s real role has been in poverty alleviation: is it accurate to say that the Chinese government “lifted 300 million people from poverty” or is it more correct to say that they mostly got out of the way and allowed those people to climb out of it themselves? (I tend to like the latter phrasing). That’s not the only accomplishment in China’s 35+ years of reform that will be fought over. But the simple truth is that by many, many measures of human development, the great majority of Chinese people are undeniably better off today than they were before Deng inaugurated reform. The grand unofficial compromise, in a kind of updated Hobbesian social contract, that the Party made with the Chinese people—“You stay out of politics, we’ll create conditions in which you can prosper and enjoy many personal freedoms”—has been, on balance (and to date), a success. No thinking Chinese person of my acquaintance believes that the Party or its leadership is anything close to infallible. Most can be quite cynical about the Party, the venality of officials, the hidden factional struggles, the instinct for self-preservation. They’re fully appreciative of the Party and leadership's many shortcomings. They don’t shrink from criticizing it, either; they aren’t reflexively careful of what they say and who might be listening. But they don’t bandy words like “revolution” about casually. They tend to have a sober appreciation for what’s at stake, for the price that would have to be paid. They’re realistic enough to understand that the Party is not apt to tip its hat adieu and go gently to history's proverbial dustbin. They still believe, and not entirely without evidence, that the Party leadership is attuned to public opinion and will respond when the will of the people is made manifest. They support reform, not revolution. I’ve little doubt that desire for more formal political participation, for a renegotiation of terms in that unwritten contract, will grow stronger. That’s in the cards. You’ll get no argument from me that it’s been a raw deal for many people with very legitimate grievances. There are many who’ve broken with the Party-state, who openly or secretly dissent, whose relationship with it is entirely and irreversibly oppositional. Among these are many whose courage of conviction and towering intellects I deeply and unreservedly admire, and others who I think are mere gadflies or attention-seeking malcontents without a sense of what’s at stake. In the case of all of them, regardless of what I think of them personally, I regard it as a black mark on the Chinese leadership each time a dissident is locked up for ideology, speech, religious belief or what have you. But most Chinese people tend to be pragmatic and utilitarian; the state’s ability to deliver social goods gives it a kind of “performance legitimacy." The good (prosperity, material comfort, sovereign dignity) and the bad (a censored Internet, jailed dissidents, polluted rivers, smog) go on the scales. For now, it’s unambiguous in which direction those scales are tipping. Part III — The Anglophone Media Narrative on China and Sources of Bias If you're a denizen of the Anglophone world, your impressions of China are almost certainly formed primarily by the media that you consume. There are of course exceptions: some 100,000 Americans have, in the last five years, spent time working or studying in China; there are several thousand enrolled in East Asian Studies graduate programs, or taking serious upper-division undergraduate coursework on China, or pursuing an academic discipline that focuses on China; and there are probably a few thousand more who, for personal reasons, have taken more than a passing interest in China and have read a good number of books on contemporary China or on modern Chinese history, have undertaken the study of Chinese, or have otherwise immersed themselves in trying to gain a deeper understanding of China. Taken together, though, these people represent a small percentage of the general media-consuming audience—the college-educated American who, say, reads a paper once in a while, watches cable or network news with fair regularity, listens to NPR on her drive to work, and occasionally clicks on a China-related tweet or on a friend's Facebook page, or her counterpart elsewhere in the Anglophone world. All told, that's several tens of millions of people, I'm guessing, in the U.S., Canada, the U.K., Ireland, Australia, and New Zealand. It's worth reflecting on that, for this majority of news-consumers, impressions of China are almost entirely dependent on the reporting produced, at least regularly and in the main, by probably fewer than a hundred individuals. I'm talking about the reporters for the major newswires like Reuters, Bloomberg, Dow Jones, and AP, whose stories appear not only in the major papers and on news portals online, but also in smaller metropolitan and even local markets; the journalists who write for the major newspapers and news magazines; television news reporters; and the foreign desk editors, subeditors, and producers working with the reporters. There are also the news assistants, unsung heroes without whom many of the China-based reporters who haven't mastered enough Chinese to read local media or documents, or conduct interviews in the native tongue of their interviewees, would be unable to do their jobs. If we include them, the number perhaps doubles but it's still no more than 200, perhaps 250 individuals whose contributions to the gathering, reporting, writing, and editing of news and the creation of news-related commentary actually matters. What, though, do we really know about these people? If this is the lens through which so many Americans (once again, I'll remind folks that "American" here is really shorthand for Anglophone westerners) view China, it seems to me very sensible that we should wish to understand something about the optical properties of that lens. Does it distort? Of course it does; it could notbut distort, could notbut offer only a partial and selective view—this mere few score of reporters trying to present a picture of the world's most populous nation as it hurtles ahead with unprecedented force (in the f=ma sense). This is not an indictment. These are people who I very much respect—indeed, the very people who these days comprise most of my personal circle of friends—and they are people who have my sympathy for what they must often endure in reporting from China. It's not an easy place to report from, especially if you're reporting on things that the Chinese government, or someone at least, doesn't want reported—and what else, after all, really qualifies as news reporting? They are subjected to some pretty shabby treatment, everything from the talk-to-the-hand they'll get from government ministries, to veiled and not-so-veiled threats related to visa renewals, to roughing-up by local thugs or plainclothes cops or even uniformed ones, to surveillance and harassment. I think if there's a source of bias with which I'd start my list, it's this. Seems only natural that this kind of treatment of a journalist anywhere would beget less than rosy coverage of the institutions doling it out. Negative coverage begets more of that nasty treatment, and so on in a most un-virtuous circle. Should the journalists be faulted for focusing on the things that power, whether political or corporate, wants to hide? No, I don't think so. Rightly or wrongly—and I'm unambivalent in my personal belief that it's "rightly"— this is what gets the journo juices flowing. Journalism is not about the quotidian. The historian Will Durant once wrote in The Age of Faith, "We must remind ourselves again that the historian, like the journalist, is forever tempted to sacrifice the normal to the dramatic, and never quite conveys an adequate picture of any age." I would note that while the historian can write enormously lengthy monographs in which some of that normal can be restored and that picture made more adequate, the journalist just doesn't have that leisure, and his sacrifice of the normal is more forgivable. And yet it has an impact on perception; it's still a source of distortion, of bias. This failure to focus on the more "normal" is, I would assert, one of the major reasons for the disconnect at the heart of the original question: the prevalence among Americans of "Why don't you hate your government as much as I think you ought to?" One of the more regrettable outcomes of this particular bias in the way China is reported reflects in the (notional, educated, mainstream-media-consuming) American public's understanding of the Chinese intellectual. Reporters tend to focus not just on critical intellectuals but on the more outspokenly critical ones, on the full-blown dissidents, on the very vocal activists, on the writers who challenge the establishment on human rights issues, on freedom of speech, on rule of law, on religious policy, on minority nationality policy and so forth. Of course they focus on these people; they're "the dramatic," in Durant's phrase. They set out to excite so no wonder that many of them are exciting. They play to the American love of the underdog. They flatter American values. It's right, I believe, to focus on intellectuals. One could make a very serious argument that China's history is at some important levels driven by the dynamics of the relationship between intellectuals and state power, whether dynastic or Party. Dissidents and the more stridently critical intellectuals certainly are part of that dynamic. But I would submit that it's actually more important to understand another type of intellectual, and another mode of relations between the intellectuals and state power, between, if you will, the pen and the sword: the "loyal opposition," who during most times—including this time—comprise the real mainstream, and who see it as their role to remonstrate and to criticize but not to fully confront. It's these voices, a kind of "silent majority," to use an apt phrase whatever its connotations in the American polity, who go too often ignored in our reporting. Because "Noted Chinese scholar is basically okay with the government, though he thinks it could be improved in X, Y, and Z" is not a particularly grabby headline or a compelling read. There's also a kind of source bias that's related to this and it's regrettably caught in a bit of a feedback loop, too. The general impression is that Anglophone media is pro-dissident, and so dissidents will tend to go on record with or speak at greater length with Anglophone reporters; moderate or pro-Party intellectuals will tend to decline interviews and comment, and the impression that Anglophone media is biased in favor of the dissidents gets reinforced: the narrative that they want is buttressed while the other is marginalized or weakened. Another almost ineradicable bias in Anglophone media reporting, so prevalent that it's almost not worth pointing out, is bias in favor of democratic polities. Authoritarian states like China tend to get reported on unfavorably because they behave like authoritarian states. They don't allow, by definition, rival political parties to freely form. They don't allow a free press. They censor the Internet. And of course journalists in the Anglophone world are themselves on the front lines of these speech and press issues. It's almost tautological that the press of the free world would want to free the press of the world.
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2020.07.02 03:24 RDV_SAL[WTS] New World Silver; Swedish, British, German, Canada, Australia, Japan, Prussia, and a fair mix of nicer base metal
Private messages only, Chat messages are awful on mobile Proof and pics: https://imgur.com/a/14BrhZX https://imgur.com/a/kKrhU1H Silver Take everything for $175 shipped in the U.S., this is an $18 discount on top of including shipping (9) Sweden silver lot- $25 shipped snail mail SOLD (4) German half Marks, one cleaned and one AUish- $20 1917 Australia 3 pence- $5 1915 Great Britain sixpence- $5 (2) 1943 British India 1/4 Rupee- $8 each 1910 Canada 25 cents- $5 1932 Panama 1/4 Balboa- $8 1903-H Canada 5 cent- $6 1950 Australia 3 pence- $2 1917 Great Britain 3 pence- $2.50 1912 Great Britain 3 pence- $2.50 1918 Great Britain 3 pence, AUish- $5 1919 Great Britain 3 pence- $2.50 1911 Great Britain 3 pence- $2.50 1903 Canada 10 cent, key date 500k mintage- $10 1880 Spain 50 centesimos- $10 1920 Australia one shilling- $10 1904 Panama 5 centesimo- $10 1944 Dominican 25 centavos- $5 1910 British shilling (cleaned)- $5 1781 Prussia 3 Groschen- $22 1895 Japan 20 Sen- $22 1917 Japan "Taisho" 10 sen- $25 1965 Morocco 5 Dirham- $7 (5) Soviet Union 20 kopecks- $10 each or $45 shipped PENDING COPPER https://imgur.com/a/J9vYmj3 1894 Greece 20 lepta- $1 1896 Greece 5 lepta- $1 1936 Germany 10 reichspfennig- $2 1964 Ireland Penny, AUish- $5 1894 Italy 10 centisme- $5 1957 South Africa 1/4 penny- $3 1912 Belgium one cent- $2 1950 Monaco 10 francs- $2 (3) coin Ceylon set- $5 1962 British Borneo cent- $2 1970 Belgium 50 centime- $2 1973 State of Qatar dirham- $2 1952 Macau 10 avos- $5 1950 Somalia centesimo- $3 Take it all for $30 shipped snail mail SOLD coins below 1968 Mexico 25 Peso 1960 Netherlands 2.5 Gulden 1951 Guatemala 5 centavo 1943 Mexico 20 centavos 1940 Mexico 20 centavos 1943 Mexico 50 centavos 1937 Czechoslovakia 20 Korun Trades/Countries I am looking for American junk silver around 13.5-15x FV depending on what it is Pre-Victorian British or 1600s English Chinese Imperial and Republic Russian Imperial from 1700-1900s including territorial coins(Partition of Poland, Finland) Korean empire Mongolia Japanese Samurai/Imperial Japan and Protectorate (currently own a 1/16 ryo, Ansei & Kaei Shu, Tempo and Ansei Bu Gin) Southeast Asian(Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia, Burma) milled silver only for Cambodia German States from the 1600s-1800s. Preference to Prussian, Saxon Alberitne line but looking for Wildman silver from Hannover and other states with that design Iran/Persia and Afghanistan from the 1930s and back, preference for the chunky rupees from Afghanistan Napoleonic, france and other territories under Napoleon's rule. Any Bonaparte ruled country from the Napoleonic era Poland-Lithuania Payment I have Venmo now! You can send payment electronically that way as well as money orders or checks if we've done business before. Shipping If not stated shipping is $4-5 for the continental United States depending on the distance, Hawaii and Alaska will cost more. International will be at cost, tracked in a flat-rate envelope is $26 outside of the United States
2020.06.30 01:29 jst4redditThe South China Sea disputes reeks of WWII Appeasement
edit: This blew up in a way I didn't expect, so I'd just wanna point out that I am by no means unbiased. I provided as many sources as possible so that anyone can verify the statements for themselves, even if this means making to your own conclusions. Also, need to point out the PCA is not a court, but rather a tribunal of arbitration. This is an important distinction because a the former litigates and the latter arbitrates. Take care everyone. Monyets I bring to you an issue all of us know but none of us really talk about because of it's complexities, but mainly because it's boring as shit. I was talking with my friend when I realized she was woefully misinformed about the South China Sea dispute, and that's when I realized we need a more ELI5 way to present the facts. I am no political science major but I would love to be corrected because this is the one of the real topics we should be talking about since China has been amp-ing up their aggression with their bullshit 9 Dash Line claims. I will be providing as much sources as I can, and trying to explain this with as much colorful language as possible for entertainment. A detailed analysis will follow below. So, while all this House of Cards political showdown in Malaysia is great and all, this is an equally important issue that all Malaysians should know. TLDR: China is doing some crazy shit and what's happening right now in the South China Sea is eerily similar to how Germany was appeased during World War II. The South China Sea dispute in a nutshell The Claims Just watch this video. Basically, China made huge claims to the South China Sea and the islands within, on some random and ancient historical grounds. These islands are important because of the United Nations Conventions for the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and the Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZ) which gives countries 200 nautical miles of territory the right to do fun stuff like fish, mine oil and charge overpriced water activities for tourists. The UN then basically told China to fuck off with their bullshit in 2016, when some international high courttribunal you've never heard of before (Permanent Court of Arbitration) ruled against China. This is important as the court consists of many members, Malaysia being one of them. China of course noped out from agreeing with it, and instead built man made islands and voila here we are today. https://preview.redd.it/f5etn34pzw751.png?width=631&format=png&auto=webp&s=1bee6f18e77826b17ab1c83acac732e8d88945fb So why the US gotta keep sailing round the South China Sea So if the UN ruled against China, problem solved right? Wrong, because how a country gets territory is whether it can exert its power on the territory(Declarative theory of statehood). Might makes right), and it's also the case with a country's borders. Only if a country willingly gives up power over a territory, can that territory be recognized as it's own. Now if that sounds really unfair and fucked up, well tough shit. Basically, it's kind of like if you go out dating and your house is empty, if I can go in and replace your locks with my own, poof your bed is mine now. The US is kind of like the polis. They see me climbing your gate, but because they damn lazy to chase after me and do paperwork, they ronda-ronda around so I will think twice about stealing your sweet sweet bed. (This is probably a bad comparison) So the US sails the disputed South China Seas on purpose, as a middle finger to China's power and thus 'legal' claim over the area. A lot of people here seem to dislike the US for one reason or another, even though they are the only power helping ASEAN stand in China's way of claiming South China Sea. https://preview.redd.it/7w5p86ep4x751.png?width=882&format=png&auto=webp&s=e6fcadb149523384c8982f427d848a7bc9f4ff3b The Chinese Dream It's getting very important that we start to pay attention because Covid-19 is a damned bitch and has wrecked the world's economy and will continue to do so. China might be struggling with the rest of Asia, but they are well positioned to recover first. This is important, because then poorer countries like us that need economic recovery assistance will end up like Africa or Mongolia and fall into their kanina debt politics which will influence us, with their appetite for for their "Chinese Dream". So around 2013, Xi Jinping started coining the phrase 'Chinese Dream'. It's really just a cool waypropaganda to combine socialism and capitalism, daring the young to dream and contribute to the glory of China. Its kinda like the American Dream, which itself was born out of shit like Manifest Destiny, but in reverse. So like Wolf of Wall Street, Chinese money began to look for shit to buy into, and projects such as the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) was born. China was like some angel from the heavens, making it rain money from the sky, blessing poor countries alike. Highways, railways, ports, cities, you name it and China will build it for you. Before they knew it they were heavily indebt and owing China lots of cash for shit they don't even need. Yes, in some cases they lose more than they hope to gain, but when you lend out money like a loan shark, sometimes getting your money back isn't even that big a deal. Kinda reminds you of KLIA, Sepang & KLCC huh? https://preview.redd.it/xwdab4bg5x751.png?width=503&format=png&auto=webp&s=41f7842321bf5f757d0496a2a53479cb4f226e59 Fuck Get to The Point This kind of money makes countries damn scared to say anything bad about China because fuck it, who doesn't want to get paid? In Philippine's case, they didn't even say much at all. Imagine yeah, the guy who said shoot all the drug dealers now wants to avoid conflict despite having the most advanced army as their ally as well as the legal standing. He has even rejected joint training exercises with the US, and even allowed the same company that built the man-made islands that gave so much trouble a contract in the Philippines. This is an ASEAN country at the edge of the South China Sea disputes, with people even crying out that Duterte lacks balls and he can still be so relatively ambivalent to this kind of behavior. If you don't know history, World War 2 (WW2) happened for a lot of reasons, but a lot of people point to appeasement being one of them. Basically, they had all this shit in the peace treaty from WW1 to avoid WW2 from happening. But Germany slowly kept testing the limits, and because everyone wanted to avoid conflict, they just kept giving in and giving in, and giving in, and giving in until it was too late. I don't know about you guys, but this same exact shit is happening once again, though yes, China is being very smart and subtle about it. China is building shit all over the world secretly and non secretly and even conducting espionage. The only nation to actually take a stand against this kind of practice is ironically Trump's US, who initiated the trade war with tariff's on the Chinese economy. Whether this did more to harm the US (most likely) is not the point, but the fact is this makes US the only nation to actually fight back against China. Even the latest national security bill in Hong Kong has done nothing but drawn "strong condemnation" from everyone but the UK and the US. (Whether condemnation is an effective tool is debatable) https://preview.redd.it/9mi7o40bzw751.png?width=793&format=png&auto=webp&s=acce98794b8ef052a215fe726c95166cd39f70a8 In Summation So obviously, the US is not doing this out of the kindness of their hearts. Like any large power they understand the importance of the logistical routes that run through the South China Sea and more importantly the disadvantages of losing control over such strategically important territory. Given that they are embroiled in a trade war with China, one of the strategies they can employ is to put more pressure on China's sea aggression. ASEAN is the smaller power between the two, and while it would be strategic to let the two superpowers duke it out, there has never been a better time for ASEAN to come together and stand firm. I don't believe conflict is inevitable, but with the strength China is showing and Philippines being the first ASEAN nation to so willingly cede control of its sea, it's definitely on the table. I made this post so that more Malaysians can be aware of the increasingly aggressive actions China is taking, as well as their less aggressive ones such as practicing debt trap diplomacy. While nations are perhaps not as coy as I made them seem to be, they definitely perhaps underestimate the long term effectiveness of having develop both stronger footholds in the South China Sea as well as the development of the RBI. I can only hope that a simplified outlook will encourage more Malaysians to talk about this issue that is currently affecting our neighbors, but if left unchecked will definitely end up on our very shores. A Deeper Perspective https://preview.redd.it/1swzfwn6ex751.png?width=800&format=png&auto=webp&s=13a9fe63b14d6e1554305b7e8315c12aeb9dbad6 This post started after watching a video u/stormy001 posted, regarding US Naval Posture and the overall level of Maritime Security in Southeast Asia. It's long, dry and winded, but I manage to summarize what I think is some of their key points. A Summary of Sorts 2010-2020 is a decade of concern as US Naval power decreases relative to China's vast and ever increasing improvement. China is seen as desiring to cut US from their Asian allies in order to gain control of the sea trade routes. This goes hand in hand with the RBI, as China gains access to the Eurasian landmass, forging military relationships that they hope will blossom into strategic benefits into the coming years. The panel believed that the South China Sea (SCS) is core to this strategy, as they can ensure a constant logistic chain to supply efforts in the RBI and shore up their flanks once enough control in SCS is ceded. For Vietnam, realities came into play after the 2014 incident when they had a 1 month stand off over a Chinese oil rig that came into Vietnam's territory. While no shots were fired, there was a definite show of overwhelming force from China that forced Vietnam to rethink its once calm outlook on the SCS disputes. It is also important, as China has actively interfered with ASEAN nations attempt to explore oil and energy within this region, such as the Repsol incident in Vietnam and the more recent Malaysia standoff. Both incidents show China's boldness in a world devastated by Covid-19, a fact that's been highlighted by numerous entities. In the event of conflict, barring a historic change in the world it's hard to foresee that a US or US led coalition of forces would engage in a land war in Asia, underpinning the need for strong Naval presence. However, only Singapore is well equipped with a modern Navy and submarines, while actually affected nations like Vietnam, Philippines and Indonesia lack the Naval presence to even mitigate piracy and attacks from terrorists like Abu Sayyaf. Indonesia was another topic that was brought up, as it was seen as a strategic nexus between the Indian and Pacific Ocean (Indo Pacific Region), and they have not been immune to China's bullying. What prevents Indonesia from fulfilling this role however is Joko's inward focus, and fires that he has to put out domestically. Despite coming up with the global maritime fulcrum, a paradigm shift in how Indonesia perceived its status on the world stage, it has largely been put aside. Effective or not, it has enabled Indonesia to focus more on their geographical shortcomings, and building the important domestic maritime infrastructure that before was never really focused on. They asserted that Indonesia should however shrug off their internal focus and to step up its presence in ASEAN policies. Here they suggested the US take a closer look at their politics, and help shape Indonesia to fill this leadership role, in perhaps even a joint-leadership capacity like Indonesia enjoys with Australia with the Bali Process. Soft support could also be encouraged in areas such as the continuance of the illegal fishing task force or the environmental protections agency. There are of course other realities that caution against this exertion of Western influence. For one, there is an alleged 50 million dollars a year from the US pledged to fight Islamic insurgency. While this has helped Indonesia make great progress, it also has given them an incentive to protract the fight as finishing the insurgents off would also mean losing 50 million dollars a year. This affects their priorities on their maritime security challenges, influencing their strategy to be inward focusing, specifically on counter-terrorism. As a result of this inability or unwillingness to sort their internal security in order, they lapse in their maritime security, forcing Malaysia and Philippines to demand a trilateral patrol agreement of their waters. This was a largely effective move, until June of 2019, when Abu Sayyaf continued their kidnapping operations. This in turn caused Malaysia to invest more into ESSCOM (Eastern Sabah Security Command). This all comes to naught however when the realities of military readiness from all the affected ASEAN nations come into play, arguing that it's not so much a lack of will but rather a lack of capacity which necessitates US intervention. This forces an economic battle, which in turn is about projecting a nations capability to be able to prosper in spite of the pressure China may place upon them such as in the case of Taiwan. The loss of TPP severely weakened the US presence in SCS, thus putting less incentive on them to remain in this region to uphold any sort of prosperity or peace (keep in mind this is a US perspective panel). Final Conclusions & Some Points for Discussion I mostly bring this up because of some red flags a few of my Chinese friends saying to me. In essence there are apparently quite a few quiet but hardcore Chinese supporters here, which honestly kind of shocked me. They said things like "finally the Chinese have a reason to be proud in the world", "there is no harm in having China exerting more political power in ASEAN" and most disconcertingly "I would welcome if China came into Malaysia". I am legit surprised that any Malaysian would feel this way, and when pressed on why they think such things the bullshit reasons they gave were no better. "At least China won't fuck with your ability to make money or get an education", "For so long we have been regarded as second-class citizens. Why must we work harder to get on equal playing field?", "What China is doing to the Uighur's is principally the same as how we are treated." Now I have lived in China, and 1000% living in China is bad shit. They actively ban websites, there's this eerie sense of indoctrination from the people, you suddenly feel scared speaking your mind, since they have no problem making you disappear at the drop of a hat. Could things get better? Sure. But it seems that decades of racially charged politics has created a silent minority that I found personally alarming due to the steadfastness of their beliefs. I just need to know if any of you other monyets found more people with similar perspectives, and perhaps what your thoughts are given this has a very serious implication on how we perceive the geo-political realities today.
It says the link to discord is invalid and expired
foxvko1 in ABCDesis on 29 Apr 20 (3pts):
fova7j4 in Intergalactics on 28 Apr 20 (1pts):
Arena war? Is it on last gen?
fop42od in ABCDesis on 27 Apr 20 (13pts):
You’re right. I’m indian American. I also tend to notice more Asian Americans in non STEM fields (military, etc) compared to Indian Americans who are mostly in tech or medicine. Edit: and yeah,...
fop3n9h in ABCDesis on 27 Apr 20 (9pts):
I was just saying based on personal observations. I used to go out often (in the Bay, before Coronavirus) and I’d see Asian women with Whites often, while it was very common for me to see Indians....
fmo3mlv in originalxbox on 07 Apr 20 (2pts):
If your 5 year old likes Harry Potter, go for it!
fmiohil in ABCDesis on 05 Apr 20 (1pts):
Hey! Congratulations on doing what you like! I live in the Bay Area, and I know what that's like. I enjoy reading about US history, and play a lot of video games, which isn't too common among Desis...
fm93lq7 in memes on 02 Apr 20 (19pts):
At least it ain't Delfino Isle or the Comet Observatory
fm2s80z in AskMen on 01 Apr 20 (1pts):
Grave of the Fireflies The Wind Rises On Poppy Hill Porco Rosso Totoro Spirited Away Kiki’s Delivery Service Princess Mononoke
flydy89 in StockMarket on 30 Mar 20 (9pts):
IF justice is served
fltg9cq in gtaonline on 29 Mar 20 (2pts):
The best onr
flosyg8 in YangForPresidentHQ on 27 Mar 20 (1pts):
Who knows lol
fjx78go in thesopranos on 08 Mar 20 (1pts):
fizl9r5 in Android on 28 Feb 20 (2pts):
No. I heard that Google voluntarily left China after it refused to comply with Chinese laws
fiyz19t in IndiaSpeaks on 28 Feb 20 (3pts):
fiw21zc in BernieSanders on 27 Feb 20 (2pts):
Bernie is a communist /s
fipotm5 in gtaonline on 25 Feb 20 (-1pts):
I unfortunately was too late to do that
fig6aqe in gtaonline on 22 Feb 20 (1pts):
How do you get the suit? How sturdy is it against MK2 or rocket launcher? And what plane was the other guy using?
fhirdlt in NintendoSwitch on 13 Feb 20 (1pts):
Sorry, I didn’t clarify. I meant that I’d move Pokémon to the bank from X and then to ORAS, without trading directly (to remove need for a second 3DS). I have a bunch of boxes to send from X to Y...
fhiji18 in NintendoSwitch on 13 Feb 20 (1pts):
so, to summarize, Pokémon bank is free for this month and I can trade Pokémon on my 3ds games (ORAS to XY and vice versa(), yes? i was able to trade games from LGP to Shield (and vice versa) for...
fhi2b6j in NintendoSwitch on 13 Feb 20 (2pts):
Sorry, I’m confused. How does Pokémon home compare to Pokémon bank and how I trade my Pokémon from XYORAS to Go or from Go to LGP / SwSh? Or vice versa? What do I pay for?
fhc7hwq in news on 11 Feb 20 (1pts):
Man, the coronavirus is scary
ffot7dm in 49ers on 26 Jan 20 (1pts):
fdpqfjx in modernwarfare on 10 Jan 20 (1pts):
It's an excellent idea! But remember to donate elsewhere! Australia needs our help
fdanecb in ABCDesis on 05 Jan 20 (1pts):
My girlfriend wants to take me to Olive Garden for our 6 month anniversary. She is unsure of it tho. We should've gone weeks ago but she was visiting grandparents in Italy, and I was on vacatione...
fd829di in worldnews on 05 Jan 20 (1pts):
Oh dear.... A war between the US and Iran won’t go well...
fc5iczp in NintendoSwitch on 27 Dec 19 (0pts):
I get error code 2110-2963 on it and can’t connect my Switch to hotel WiFi (have to enter a username and password after connecting to WiFi), but was able to connect my iPhone and iPad to it. What do...
f9fh5bt in pcgaming on 02 Dec 19 (0pts):
But you don’t need the Play Store to get Android apps. A simple APK from the internet will suffice, no?
f9fdycg in AsianMasculinity on 02 Dec 19 (3pts):
How did Indian women in the bay treat you? I live in the Bay and most Indian American / Indian women I see are with Indian men, occasionally a White guy (not common). Even more rare for them to be...
f8i21ku in ChineseLanguage on 24 Nov 19 (1pts):
Which Pokémon? I thought it wasn’t officially available in Chinese until later on
f40apne in AndroidGaming on 17 Oct 19 (1pts):
f3agnjq in pcgaming on 11 Oct 19 (1pts):
She’s the only Chinese character in game so people are treating her as an “anti CCP” symbol due to Blizzard
f21cuw4 in NintendoSwitch on 30 Sep 19 (2pts):
I heard about Brain Age on Switch. Is it Japan only? When will it come to the US?
f1yopsi in CSUEB on 30 Sep 19 (2pts):
f1fei6e in Frat on 25 Sep 19 (14pts):
f14dkab in ABCDesis on 22 Sep 19 (1pts):
After reading threads here and other Asian subs... Is the Bay Area bad place for Indians dating interracially? My Indian and Asian friends struggle to date interracially here, not just with White...
f0xujz6 in studyAbroad on 21 Sep 19 (2pts):
f0xuii5 in AndroidQuestions on 21 Sep 19 (1pts):
Yeah, I didn’t notice it on the retail Google Pixel (saw dark mode but not auto dark mode) but saw auto dark mode on the retail Samsung Galaxy S10
f0xnk52 in AndroidQuestions on 21 Sep 19 (1pts):
Will that also work for my friend for his old Note 4?
ezy5e1z in DaenerysWinsTheThrone on 12 Sep 19 (3pts):
Username checks out
eyz6mic in FracturedButWhole on 04 Sep 19 (1pts):
eyxtm7k in AppleMusic on 04 Sep 19 (1pts):
Any more codes available?
eyvfh8l in PS3 on 03 Sep 19 (1pts):
Will it cause any permanent damage to it? How do I get it out?
eyute72 in PokemonLetsGo on 03 Sep 19 (1pts):
ey8ueze in NintendoSwitch on 27 Aug 19 (1pts):
Sorry if this isn’t the place to ask but.... I have an old GameCube controller (got it with my GameCube in 2004) that I use with Smash Ultimate. The L button is stuck and I really have to push it...
ey4udja in witcher on 26 Aug 19 (1pts):
How are the PS4 / Xbox One / 360 versions of the Witcher games?
2020.06.28 03:01 Nugget9326 [M4F] Lonely sleep deprived shift worker, health worker and nursing student looking for cute girl for long term relationship, travel companion, midnight snack runs and cuddle nap dates as the world potentially falls apart.
NOTE: Given the current social distancing situation let’s start online then slowly move to real life once this all blows over. What I'm looking for: To put it simply I am essentially looking for a genuine long-term relationship ad emotional connection. Not interested in hook ups or one-night stands. Appearance: Let’s be real at the end of the day appearance is important so I might as well be honest here. I’m only 5’5 tall (165cm) and 65kg (fit build). I was born and raised in Australia but off Vietnamese descent. The BEST pay I way can describe myself is essentially the shorter version of Jacky Chan who doesn’t know martial arts. I’m not even kidding, a lot of my patients tell me that. If you are still interested, I can give you my Instagram (which is like my travel blog) but as per sub rules I can’t post it here. Personality: I’m very approachable and have the mentally of an over exited puppy who wants to get along with everyone. I also walk and talk at about a million miles an hour and like to think myself as a kind, gentle, helpful and compassionate person. I mean I’m not afraid to say I love cute fluffy animals or babies. Career: I am currently working in NSW health as a ward orderly (bed pushepatient lifteerrand boy) and an Assistant in Nursing. I am also in my third and final year of my nursing degree and want to work with sick babies and children in my future career. As I mentioned before I love babies and not afraid to admit that I want to cuddle and bottle feed infants all day. Future: Well given houses are so expensive in this city its either both of us knuckle down to afford one because I sure as hell can’t do it on my own. Or move to another state and start a new life. Or travel the world and live a nomadic life. Or a mix of everything. Hobbies: When I’m not studying or working, I like to go the gym and do some strength training. Before COVID I really loved ‘adventure travel’ (its marketing term for active travelling) and trekking in remote places on the other side of the world. However, with the current travel bans I doubt I will be ding that anytime soon. Once its all over I am looking for travel companion. I remember one night I had a hotel room to myself in Tanzania and it was raining outside. While I was alone lying in the king-sized bed I thought ‘I wish I could share this with someone’. What’s in it for you? I will support you in your goals no matter what it is. I will be your rock in your worst moments, be emotionally open and will listen to your problems without judgement. And finally free Vietnamese food! PS I have dated both Asian and white girls (and I am open to other races as well) so I don’t really care about race in general. I also don’t care bout height either, you could be small and petite or 6-foot-tall in heels and still would not care. We are all human after all.
2020.06.27 21:45 biggreekgeekFlatten the Curve. Part 26. 2015 was a busy year. Pandemic predictions, bat coronavirus human link found, CRISPR/Cas9, and that birdman plauge doctor video with, "you are already dead". Good times.
Previous post here. You do realize that we have so much information thrown at us on a daily basis that we don't remember what happened a few months ago, let alone over a year ago. Not unless the internet reminds us. And we've had a pretty crazy last little while, haven't we? Has the information settled in or has it desensitized? Did you try and make sense of it all, or did you forget about it? Because yesterday was normal, and today is new normal. And new normal is really just Hypernormal, an older meaning wrapped in a prettier word. So lets talk a little about the new normal and the coronavirus and it's place in it all. Not why it's here, just it's place. Now I know most people seem to think it's a hoax. And that's fine, think what you will. I don't agree, and I have my reasons. Now I will agree that not everything is as it seems with the virus, because there are far too many inconsistencies that don't add up. So what's the why of the virus, well that's for later, because I do think there's a second wave coming, and I want it fresh in everyone's mind, not washed away in this new normal information overload that we live in. So why bring it up? Let me answer that question for you, but in order to do that, we have to go back a little in time to around 2015, and something I completely forgot about until last night. Do you remember the plague doctor? The guy in that really creepy viral video dressed like in a bird suit from the mid 1600's. The video was called, 11B-X-1371. There was a lot of attention on this, and a lot of Reddit put in effort at looking at the details and figuring out the clues. So lets look again. First I have to say, this was all apparently a hoax video that went viral. I'm not sure why someone would make a hoax like this, but let's take another look and see some big picture dates here. I have to throw this in, I looked far and wide when the epidemic first started, and I do not recall ever seeing this pop up in search results. Ralph Baric and 2015, yes, jumping from bats to humans, no. Yes I could have just missed it, so if anyone else saw it, please chime in. We also have this Ted Talk, Mar. 19, 2015 · The world needs to prepared for the next major health crisis Bill Gates has warned at the Ted conference in Vancouver. So we have the plague doctor video on May 9th, 2015. The corona bat discovery on Nov 10th 2015. 2015 was a pretty busy year, wasn't it? It would be pretty easy to stop there and make like ET and go home, but that's not going to happen. Now let's dive in and look at some details about the video.
The binary title of AETBX's YouTube posting was "Muerte", Spanish for "death", and the description similarly resolved to Spanish text—"Te queda 1 año menos", rendered in English as "you have one less year". The triangle-and-square message near the end of the video was found to read "Ad oppugnare homines" in Pigpen cipher—Latin for "To attack or target men".
I don't know about you, but anything in Latin, even Pigpen Latin, sounds ominous and evokes images of declarations issued by ancient secret society's hell bent on word domination.
Single-frame inserts were found to have Morse code and other texts in common ciphers. The Morse's plaintext was the phrase "RED LIPS LIKE TENTH". A sequence of 20 pairs of two-digit characters was found to be the latitude and longitude of the White House in Washington; it was later noted that the "RED LIPS" phrase could be an intended anagram for "KILL THE PRESIDENT". These were seen as a threat against the United States in general and President Barack Obama in particular. Krahbichler reported that a cipher in the video could be decoded to reveal the message "STANDANDFIGHTWITHUSTAKEDOWNTHEBLACKBEASTKILLHISDISEASEORFALLWITHTHEREST", and that the "BLACKBEAST" of the message could be Obama, an African-American. Krahbichler said that he believed that the video contained a political message, but was not a terrorist threat.
Now let's think about it another way for a change. The video states that you have one year left. And while it does, he used fingers and holds up, three, one, two. Could the one year less be a message to subtract one from each of the numbers? Ending up with 201. Event 201. The same event that Bill gates sponsored. Again, just a different point of view. It also had.
A new order is on the rise. You will join, or you will fall. The virus has spread too far; it must be stopped. We will die it at it's root. 13 ani 50, will burn.
And. SOON COMES THE FALL/ANOTHER GREAT EMPIRE. THE FALL/THE EAGLE ON THE HORIZON. JOIN US. THE EAGLE = INFECTED WILL SPREADD HIS DISEASE. (Somebody should make a bedtime story out of this!) Now what about Obama? Yes they mentioned the White House, and it is unfortunately a natural jump, but what if the intent was merely racist, but not directed towards any single individual? What if there was another intent behind the draconian arrests on TV that led to arrested individuals dying through excessive police force?
Facial-recognition systems misidentified people of color more often than white people, a landmark federal study released Thursday shows, casting new doubts on a rapidly expanding investigative technique widely used by law enforcement across the United States. Asian and African American people were up to 100 times more likely to be misidentified than white men, depending on the particular algorithm and type of search. Native Americans had the highest false-positive rate of all ethnicities, according to the study, which found that systems varied widely in their accuracy. The faces of African American women were falsely identified more often in the kinds of searches used by police investigators where an image is compared to thousands or millions of others in hopes of identifying a suspect.
Whelp, that's a bit of a different spin, isn't it? Is there anything else that could possibly be considered here? The 11B-X-1371 could be a hoax video, yet it sure had a lot of media coverage for a strange internet video, didn't it? And considering how strange our new normal is getting, I really don’t think it's too strange to warrant this second look. And I also don't think it's strange to dig deeper around 2015, and see what else happened at that time. Because more happened, and it's picking up steam. Do you remember CRISPCas9? Because Bill Gates remembers. And so does DARPA, Venture Capitalist Firms, and mosquitoes. Yep. Those bloodsucking malaria spreading insects are being targeted with the Raid equivalent of gene editing. CRISPCas9. Kills. Bugs. Dead. Sure the technology didn't just appear in 2015, but more money did.
The lead investor is a newly created firm called bng0, a select group of family offices led by Boris Nikolic, who was previously a science advisor to Bill Gates. Both Editas and Gates’ office confirm that the Microsoft billionaire, who is the world’s richest man, is among the bng0 backers. Along with Google Ventures, Omega Fund, and more. How much? 120 million dollars. When? August 10th 2015.
So. They invested in a biotechnology firm, isn’t that a good investment for humanity's future?
Emails obtained through a freedom of Information request by U.S.–based Prickly Research reveal that the U.S. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) has given approximately $100 million for gene drive research1, $35 million more than previously reported 2, making them likely the largest single funder of gene drive research on the planet 3. The emails also reveal that DARPA either funds or co-ordinates with almost all major players working on gene drive development as well as the key holders of patents on CRISPR gene editing technology 4. These funds go beyond the US; DARPA is now also directly funding gene drive researchers in Australia (including monies given to an Australian government agency, CSIRO) 5 and researchers in the UK. The files also reveal an extremely high level of interest and activity by other sections of the U.S. military and Intelligence community. Secret Military Study draws in Monsanto: The emails reveal that the secretive JASON group of military advisors produced a classified study on gene drive this year (2017). The report was commissioned following an earlier classified 2016 JASON report on “genome editing” that has not previously been publicly reported on although it “received considerable attention among various agencies of the U.S. government.
Now you'll remember the 2015 plague video? And then him saying you have one year less? Was it about event 201? Or was it indicating the classified news that would come out in 2016 about gene editing?
Wired Magazine, in a breathless cover story, just called it “The Genesis Engine,” instructing readers to “buckle up” because the easy DNA editing CRISPR enables will change the world.
So we have a plague video, threats against the United States, UNC and coronavirus Bat discovery, CRISPCas9, Darpa and classified research, plus Bill Gates giving a Ted Talk about a coronavirus pandemic while pumping money into Gene Drive technology. All in 2015. And lets not forget about breathlessly calling the technology the Genesis Engine. You know, like the Bible. Or like all the articles that question our Geoengineering and Bioengineering attempts to play God? Let's keep calm and carry on.
Over the next four years a new program in the Pentagon’s Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) plans to cultivate, among other things, a kind of cleanup crew for engineered genes deemed harmful to or undesirable in an ecosystem. The initiative, called Safe Genes, comes at a time when so-called “gene drive” systems, which override the standard rules of gene inheritance and natural selection, are raising hopes among some scientists that the technology could alter or suppress populations of disease-carrying insects or other pests in as few as 20 generations. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation sees so much promise in gene drive technology that it plans to double spending on its Target Malaria initiative, which aims to create systems for driving genes in two species of malaria mosquitoes, to $70 million. Yet without careful precautions, a gene drive released into the wild could spread or change in unexpected ways. Kevin Esvelt, head of the Sculpting Evolution lab at MIT Media Lab, which is applying for Safe Genes funding in collaboration with eight other research groups, predicts that eventually, perhaps around 15 years from now, an accident will allow a drive with potential to spread globally to escape laboratory controls. “It’s not going to be bioterror,” he says, “it’s going to be ‘bioerror".
So now we have an epidemic, bioengineered mosquitoes to stop the spread of malaria, a President who insisted that anti-malarial drugs worked against COVID-19, Chinese scientists who worked with Ralph Baric and other scientists who worked in a Canadian Biolab, Bill Gates being the planet crier warning of an upcoming pandemic. And does anyone honestly believe that they can make sense of this Unrestricted Warfare/Full Spectrum Dominance that's being waged hidden in plain sight? The New Normal becomes a lot easier to see when you change perspective, even if it doesn't any clearer as to who is doing what. Because before you jump the gun and blame China, ask yourself how viral all the media reports were about the Chinese scientists? Very. Although that could have also been a slow trickle to acclimatize us to our New Normal war. Who knows? So lets look at another piece of information.
She says her team is also working hard on the Juno project. And Editas is working on hemoglobinopathy, a type of genetic condition in which the molecule that carries oxygen in red blood cells is defective. That will be a tougher project: it will involve not just cutting out a DNA misspelling, but actually editing a gene.
Ah. Hemoglobinopathy. Why of course. Why didn't I think of that when I was doing my CRISPCas9 gene editing? Seriously. It's so obvious it was hiding in plain sight. A defective cell. Low oxygen. A virus that attacks the blood. Lets see.
More recently, two innovative pathophysiology hypotheses have been proposed, concerning hemoglobin dysfunction and tissue iron overload, based on preliminary computational and genetic sequencing researches. A preliminary paper about the viral inhibition of heme metabolism, by binding to beta-chains of hemoglobin through surface glycoproteins,4 has been followed by another publication about virus-induced hemoglobin denaturation.5 This hemoglobin alteration would contribute to the oxygen deprived multi-faceted syndrome, which is actually generated by SARS-CoV-2.
Or let's look over here.
At the same time, orf1ab, ORF10 and ORF3a proteins coordinated to attack heme on the 1-beta chain of hemoglobin, dissociating iron to form porphyrin. Deoxyhemoglobin is more vulnerable to virus attacks than oxidized hemoglobin. The attack will cause less and less hemoglobin that can carry oxygen and carbon dioxide, producing symptoms of respiratory distress. Virus attack damaged many organs and tissues. Lung cells are toxic and inflammatory due to derivatives produced by the attack, which eventually resulted in ground-glass-like lung images. Capillaries easily broken due to inflammation.
Or let's look in plain English.
A dangerous symptom of the coronavirus that can cause a patient to fall unconscious or even die is known as hypoxia — when the body’s tissues do not receive enough oxygen. Dr. Richard Levitan, an emergency doctor working in New York City, wrote for the New York Times at the end of April that he has seen COVID-19 patients with “alarmingly low” oxygen levels, but no shortness of breath. He describes this as “silent hypoxia”. These patients had oxygen saturation levels as low as 50 per cent when normal levels are usually at 94 to 100 per cent at sea level, Levitan explained. These patients had oxygen saturation levels as low as 50 per cent when normal levels are usually at 94 to 100 per cent at sea level, Levitan explained. One doctor treating COVID-19 patients in New York says it was like altitude sickness. It was “as if tens of thousands of my fellow New Yorkers are stuck on a plane at 30,000 feet and the cabin pressure is slowly being let out. These patients are slowly being starved of oxygen,” said Cameron Kyle-Sidell, MD, an emergency room and critical care doctor at Maimonides Medical Center in Brooklyn who has been posting about his experience on social media. In an editorial in the journal Intensive Care Medicine, Luciano Gattinoni, MD, a guest professor of anesthesia and intensive care at the University of Gottingen in Germany, and one of the world’s experts in mechanical ventilation, says more than half the patients he and his colleagues have treated in Northern Italy have had this unusual symptom. They seem to be able to breathe just fine, but their oxygen is very low. According to Gattinoni, about 30% of COVID-19 patients who come to the hospital have more classic symptoms of acute respiratory distress syndrome, or ARDS. Their lungs are cloudy on imaging scans, and they’re stiff and inflamed, showing that they aren’t working well. The patients also have low levels of oxygen in their blood, and they are struggling to breathe. They look like patients with severe pneumonia caused by a virus. This is the type of lung trouble doctors are more used to seeing with respiratory diseases like influenza and SARS.
Did you read that? Cause I did. ABOUT 30% of COVID-19 patients who come to the hospital have more classic symptoms of acute respiratory distress syndrome, or ARDS.
Gattinoni says putting a patient like this on a ventilator under too high a pressure may cause lung damage that ultimately looks like ARDS. So he cautions that doctors need to be aware of the COVID-19 patients’ symptoms and need to use the ventilator carefully and sparingly.
Remember the ventilators? And all the blowback for daring to disagree with the concensus?
"This is a kind of disease in which you don't have to follow the protocol -- you have to follow the physiology," Gattinoni said. "Unfortunately, many, many doctors around the world cannot think outside the protocol."
That article was from April 7th 2020. It makes you think, doesn’t it? All the false negatives and false positives. There was even an all out media blitz telling you that you shouldn't believe this information. Just listen to the experts, right? So what is going on? Is there a bigger picture? How do we put the puzzle together? How does severe hypoxia in patients with no symptoms and cytokine storms fit into all of this? And why are they so positive about a second wave, when all the other viral outbreaks didn't have them? And why do they change their mind on how it spreads? And it might be a good idea to go back to reexamine the whole wearing a mask that limits your oxygen intake. I know, you're going to feel foolish after the whole, don't wear a mask, wear a mask, maybe wear a mask, you probably should wear a mask, no, definitely wear a mask, episode, but hey, lives are at stake, maybe figure it out. And what about this in 2015 as well from Ralph Baric at UNC? New SARS-like virus can jump directly from bats to humans, no treatment available. And then some women eats bat soup and none of us can leave home? Or it was made in a laboratory just up the block in Wuhan from the bat soup lady? Or from the wet market? And what about all the keep calm and happy hypoxia on in this new normal? Whelp, I'll have to leave that to another post, because this one's already too long. So just ruminate on the topics and I'll be compiling the remainder shortly. Take care. Be safe. Stay aware and be prepared. Talk soon. EDIT: Nice find by luffarMickez. 11B-X stands for: The month ”11”. X = 10 in roman numerals. Corona bat discovered november 10th.
2020.06.26 12:31 colourupuniformsColourUp Top Australian Soccer Hall of Famers
https://preview.redd.it/m0et89ndf8751.jpg?width=800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=57b85b3f07439bee77301967828e64ca17928e08 Mark Viduka Mark Anthony Viduka is an Australian retired footballer who played as a centre forward. Mark was born on 9 October 1975. He captained the Australia national team to the Round of 16 at the 2006 FIFA World Cup which remains their best performance to date. His four goals in the UEFA Champions League are the most scored by any Australian player. Viduka began his international career in a friendly series against South Africa at the age of 18 in June 1994. The first game was played in Adelaide and the second game was played in Sydney. Australia won both games 1–0. He scored his first international goal in October 1997 in the 23rd minute of a friendly game against Tunisia. In 1996, Viduka joined the Olyroos as they competed in the 1996 Summer Olympics. In Australia's first group game they lost to France 2–0. In their second group match they defeated Saudi Arabia 2–1. Viduka scored Australia's second goal in the 63rd minute with a clever back flick past the goalkeeper. In Australia's final group game Viduka contributed early in the game with an assist to Aurelio Vidmar in the 3rd minute. Despite Australia's early 0–2 lead, Spain made a spirited comeback and won 3–2. Due to the losses to France and Spain, the Olyroos did not progress further in the tournament. Viduka began captaining the Australia national team in September 2005 in place of the injured Craig Moore, the regular captain. His first game as captain was in a World Cup Qualifier against Solomon Islands in Sydney, in which Australia won 7–0. He scored 2 goals on the occasion including a spectacular bicycle-kick goal. Harry Kewell Harold Kewell is an Australian association football coach and former player who was most recently the manager of English club Notts County. Kewell was born on 22 September 1978. Kewell played for Leeds United, Liverpool, Galatasaray, Melbourne Victory, Al-Gharafa and Melbourne Heart. While at Leeds he was named the PFA Young Player of the Year in 2000. Internationally he has received 58 caps, and scored 17 goals, while playing for the Australian national team. A left winger also capable of playing as an attacking midfielder or second striker, he is often regarded within the media as "Australia's finest football export", despite his career being blighted with injury. In 2012, Kewell was named Australia's greatest footballer in a vote by Australian fans, players, and media. Kewell scored a goal against Croatia which took Australia through to the knockout stages of the 2006 FIFA World Cup, the Australian national team's second World Cup. He is a member of the Executive Committee of the Australian Professional Footballers' Association. Kewell also has a British passport through his father's heritage. Former Middlesbrough midfielder-turned pundit Robbie Mustoe named Kewell as one of the greatest players he had played against but questioned his consistency and attitude after his initial injuries. Former German international Michael Ballack has also highlighted Kewell's ability and inconsistency. Kewell has represented Australia at the 1995 FIFA U-17 World Championship, the 1997 FIFA Confederations Cup, where Australia finished runners-up, the 2004 OFC Nations Cup, which Australia claimed for the fourth time, the 2006 FIFA World Cup, the 2007 AFC Asian Cup, the 2010 FIFA World Cup and the 2011 AFC Asian Cup, where Australia finished runners-up. Mark Schwarzer Mark Schwarzer is an Australian former professional association footballer who played as a goalkeeper. Mark was born on 6 October 1972. He represented Australia at international level from 1993 to 2013 and was selected for both the 2006 and 2010 FIFA World Cups. Having progressed through the youth ranks of Colo Cougars, Penrith, Blacktown Association and Marconi Stallions, Schwarzer turned professional for National Soccer League side Marconi Stallions in 1990. After making 58 appearances for the club, he moved to German Bundesliga side Dynamo Dresden in 1994, appearing twice, and then to Bundesliga side 1. FC Kaiserslautern in 1995, appearing four times. Schwarzer joined then-second-tier side Bradford City in 1996 and made 16 appearances before joining Premier League club Middlesbrough in February 1997. He made 445 appearances for Middlesbrough but decided to leave the club in May 2008. He then switched to Premier League side Fulham and made 218 appearances for the club until he moved to Chelsea in 2013. He was the first and to date only, non-Brit to have made more than 500 Premier League appearances (making him the highest-appearing non-Brit in the Premier League's history), and also the oldest player to have played in the knockout stages of the UEFA Champions League. He joined Leicester City on a free transfer in January 2015 and left the club at the end of their 2015–16 Premier League-winning season. Having played for Australia at under-17 and under-20 level, Schwarzer made his full international debut in a World Cup qualifying match against Canada in 1993 as a substitute after Robert Zabica was sent off in the 17th minute. During his international career, he won a total of 109 caps for his country. He became Australia's most capped player when he surpassed Alex Tobin's appearance record in January 2011.
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2020.06.25 16:04 Performance_FuzzyHow do I tell my family about my LDR?
Hi! So my boyfriend (M22) and I (F19) met online about a year and a half ago. I'm asian and I come from a very strict and conservative family where we rarely mention dating or having partners or sex, or anything similar to that. I don't know how to tell my family that I already have a boyfriend living in Australia and that I already met him and spent time with him for a week (I live in an apartment close to my uni so I met up with him every night without my parents knowing). My parents think that every person you meet online is a sketchy 40-year-old pedo/killer pretending to be someone else. I have kept this from my family for a year and a half now and I'm starting to doubt and lose hope of being together and the fact that my family doesn't know about us is just adding up to the already existing problems and feelings of doubt that comes with LDR. To top it all off, I don't know how we can be together considering I just barely started uni and he's already finishing his studies and has a stable job. I need advice and help!
2020.06.24 21:31 MarriedWChildren256CATO Human Freedom Index
The CATO Human Freedom Index (Link: https://www.cato.org/human-freedom-index-new) has been one of my favorite reads over the past few years. I've no doubt we'll see major hits in nearly every country as lockdowns and economic destruction that have been imposed by fiat will show how vulnerable rule of law and natural rights are. Nearly every major area CATO uses for their scores has been impacted:
Rule of Law
Security and Safety
Association, Assembly, and Civil Society
Expression and Information
Identity and Relationships
Size of Government
Legal System and Property Rights
Access to Sound Money
Freedom to Trade Internationally
Regulation of Credit, Labor, and Business
The top 5 of 2019 are: (in order) NZ, Swiss, HK, Canada, Australia. Hong Kong will probably be out of the top 5 for reasons other than just lockdowns, unfortunately. NZ and Australia both effectively isolated their countries for an indeterminate amount of time with NZ completely shutting down the country for weeks. Switzerland locked down early (based on first case date) and became progressively more draconian. Canada is the only top 5 country I'd expect to keep a top spot. The remainder of the top 10 are really no better (less possibly Finland which I've heard little about). I'd predict Sweden (at spot 11) take a top 5 spot over their relatively light handed response with some notable gains by other East Asian countries such as Japan, SK, and Taiwan. With the patchwork of state responses that is the USA perhaps it'll even claim a top 10 (currently 15) but the looting/rioting of several large cities may curtail that. In the end the world score will drop (as it has been for years) and governments will gain power. I personally have low expectations that much (if any) good will result from this mess. The voices I hear outside my circle are in nearly universal support of "two more weeks" and even the most recent message of police brutality has been met with more government to police the police. Any other interesting predictions from anyone else that keeps an eye on this index?
2020.06.24 16:11 indianstudentthrowShort Indian dude planning to move to the EU or UK. Some advice needed (Dating)
As the flair and title says, I'm a short Indian guy (5'4, 164 cm, so is it close to 5'5?), 19 y/o living in India currently. I have chosen a career path that could help me to work in EU, Singapore, Canada or Australia. I, for one, want to move to the EU, most likely the UK or Germany. I am also a fair bit (Pun intended, no racism intended) lighter skinned than most Indian males, if that matters (Most of my friends from other countries in the EU and US tell me that if you're even a bit lighter skinned, you have a better chance). As of now, I'm very out of shape (overweight), but am working very hard to get in shape and put on a but of muscle. Hopefully, within the next two years, I'll be able to do it. Then, I plan to move. I'm asking here for advice from fellow Indians and Asians about how I should go about dating when I finally move, and do you think the dating scene would become more favourable towards Indian males in the next few years? A longer read, but any help would be greatly appreciated! Cheers!
2020.06.22 03:19 ouchiemyfeeliesI think my (F19) ex (M25) was a predator.
Some background to our relationship, we met in a chatroom on imvu (yes, that cringey website) when I was 18 and he was 24. This should have been a red flag honestly, but I had just been through a rather traumatic experience and needed someone so we ended up beginning an online friendship that became a relationship. Everything was going smoothly, he was very caring and sweet. We both live in Australia so it didnt seem too outrageous that we could be together. Eventually we met (I was 19 at the time and he was turning 25). He came and stayed with my family and I for a week (we lived 4hrs away). I wont lie, something felt off. I'm an older sister to two young girls (11, 13) and the way he would act around them made me uncomfortable. He would always be cuddling my youngest sister on the couch if I got up, holding hands with her, letting her sit on his lap, kiss him on the cheek. Usually I'd have no issues with this but my sister had been through a horrible ordeal involving an older man just two months prior, which my ex knew about, so.. it just didn't feel right. In the end though I just chalked it up to me overreacting, but even my mother had an issue with him. She didn't like his personality at all and wouldn't speak to him the entire time he was over, saying she thought he was weird and just over shared way too much. I thought that was apart of his charm. Fast forward a few more months, I travelled up to his place this time. Things were great between us. I stayed with him and his dad for a week, then he and I came back to my place for two weeks, then long story short, he asked/told me that if I still want to be with him, I have to move in with him and his dad or he doesnt think our relationship will work. I didnt have much time to think about it so I just went with it. My home life wasnt the best anyway. So I packed up all my things, said goodbye to all my family and friends, and left within two days. Honestly from the moment I moved in, I knew he regretted asking me to. He would always deny that he regretted it, but I could tell. He found me annoying a lot of the time, wasnt really affectionate anymore, also became incredibly selfish in the bedroom. I dont even remember the last time he called me pretty, but he would always be watching those kind of videos that would showcase very gorgeous asian women showing off their bangin' bodies and comment on how hot/cute they were and saying I should work out. It really took me to a dark place mentally, so one night after a few months of living there, I went through his phone while he was asleep (please dont judge me, i wasnt sure how else to deal with my insecurity at the time other than trying to find peace of mind or proof). That's when I found the locked app full of nudes. There was a bunch of folders with different girl's names, and each folder had nudes inside. I freaked out and instantly started sobbing, he woke up trying to understand what was wrong and I just laid there crying hysterically and handed him the phone. He swore they were from before we started dating and that he would never, ever do that to me. Gave me the whole spiel about being the love of his life, the only person he's ever felt this strongly for. I dont remember how, but he convinced me that he hadn't cheated. Of course I still had my doubts, but I wanted to trust him so badly that I took what he said and ran with it. He spent the whole next week trying to make it up to me and then.. he asked me if we could start trying for a baby. I know how absolutely ridiculous this sounds in hindsight, but I have always always always dreamt of being a young mum, and he knew that. So asking me this of course had a lot of impact, but also made me suspicious. Like what are you trying to make up for if you're innocent? Shouldn't I have been the one trying to make it up to you for invading your privacy? Why are you suddenly interested in having a baby with me now when you werent a month ago? These thoughts just kept playing over and over in my head. Then I kept thinking about how many girls there were in that app. That's when I logged into his old imvu account while he was at work and found everything. Messages upon messages with so many different girls. Asking them for their snapchat, their WhatsApp, their kik. Whatever he could get for them to send nudes from. I was mortified. There was messages all the way up until I moved in. I didnt have the heart to go through all of them. I just clicked the most recent and realised... it was with a 12 year old girl. She had lied about her age to him and was feeling guilty, so she confessed to being only 12 and he (a grown 24 year old man at the time) said that it was okay and convinced her to download kik, talking about how badly he wanted to see her naked. She was too afraid her mum would find out, but he convinced her anyway saying that she could just hide the app and that he loved her and just.. I saw these messages and freaked the fuck out instantly. I didnt know how to react or what to do, I just collapsed and started sobbing. It was so horrifying to think that I had let this man into my home to meet my family, that I was trying to have a baby with him.. my heart was shattered, but even more so concerned and scared of what to do next. I texted him saying we need to talk. He freaked out asking why and I told him that I logged into his account and saw everything, he didnt understand and said he was on his way home. When he got there and saw I had packed majority of my things already, he collapsed on his knees in front of me promising that it wasnt him. That he never sent any of those messages and he had to of been hacked. I sat there with a blank teary face and told him I dont believe him. I read him the messages with the 12 year old and he cringed, telling me that it was disgusting and he would never do that. Somehow I almost believed him, but my dad was already on his way to pick me up and I wanted to leave. My ex helped me pack the rest of my things and told me that he promises it wasnt him but space would be good for us and that me leaving for a while is healthy. He kept convincing me to go like it was his idea all along and that he'll message me in a few days. I texted him that same night after I got to my dad's house saying we were over and that I was done with all of his lies. That was in March, it's now June. I havent told anyone about the young girl, I've only said I was cheated on. I dont know how to tell people that. I dont know what to do... He deleted his account and all the evidence that there was. I dont know how to go about reporting him. I just need some advice, please. What do I do now?
2020.06.22 03:02 sadgirl_1299I'm a half white (German and Spanish) and half Filipino woman. Is it weird that sometimes I wish I was a straight, cis, well-off white/white-passing dude, so I could find a long-lasting marriage by seeking out some Asian girl who only wants me for money?
Heads up: my thoughts on this all sound ridiculous and stupid, because they absolutely are lol As the title states, I'm a 20 year old woman, born to a white dad and a Filipina mom. My parents got married nearly the same week that they first met in person. Before they met, they exchanged letters through Cherry Blossoms—a dating service for predominantly white men (who mostly reside in the US, but some in Canada/Europe/Australia) to find and marry Filipina women. Additional Asian and some Eastern European women also use the service, but it predominantly advertises itself as specializing in Filipina women. My parents met when Cherry Blossoms was just a magazine that facilitated pen-pal relationships. Today, the service exists as https://www.blossoms.com. Immigration from the Philippines to the US is difficult. I have only one (female) cousin from my mom's side has made it here since my mom emigrated in 1988, and that cousin also arrived by using Cherry Blossoms. It's possible for my mom to have her siblings apply for a US visa and come here as well - a concept that is derogatorily referred to as "chain migration"—but for personal and logistical reasons, it's been hard to get them to make it here. As a result, my family primarily looks to marriage as a means to facilitate immigration. For decades, my mom has trying to get my female cousins to talk to men on Cherry Blossoms and marry them for temporary citizenship. Growing up, I always thought this was semi-normal. It seemed like a fact of life - people in the Philippines are comparatively poor to people in the US, and it's just pragmatic for Filipina women to seek out relatively well-off American men. Only more recently have I begun to realize that heteropatriarchy, American imperialism, and worldwide economic disparities fuel this dynamic, in which a poor woman from a "developing country" must find a "sugar daddy," and the lonely white man must find a "submissive, non-Westernized" woman who will simply go along to get along with him. One of my weirder intrusive thoughts that comes from time to time is: wouldn't it be nice to be straight, cis, well-off white dude so I could find marriage by seeking out some Asian girl who only wants me for money? Sometimes I feel that I am not likely to find a love that will stay with me for more than just a few years. I know that I'm awfully young to be having this thought, but sometimes I fear that I won't be sexually and emotionally satisfying enough for anyone. Theoretically, this problem could easily be mitigated if I could only play into the same dynamic that my dad and many other white men have utilized. Money + mediocre looks + access to a mail-order bride dating service = Profit! Of course, it's completely possible for white women to play into this dynamic as well, but in the context of heterosexual Cherry Blossoms-esque dating, it's primarily a white man's game. This question is complicated by lots of factors beyond my family background and heritage, especially my thoughts regarding my own gender, sexuality, and past relationships. I have only ever been in romantic and sexual relationships with men in the past. Simultaneously, I often myself being sexually attracted to women—especially Southeast Asian women, for some reason. Yet, I cannot ever imagine myself in a romantic relationship with a woman. Hence, that's why I sometimes wish that I was a straight man—so I could utilize and exploit the normative gendeeconomic/imperial dynamics to get a wife. Sometimes my dad and my cousin's husband frame their decision to marry a Filipina woman as a mutual transaction—their wives provide them much needed companionship, while they both offer their wives an opportunity for upward mobility. And imo, I get it, but that's also kind of fucked! If only mixed class & mixed race relationships could just be simply about loving each other despite coming from different backgrounds, rather than being the opportunistic happenstance that occurs after years of material exploitation of the Global South. Maybe it's both, and I'm just viewing this through a too social structural-ish lens, and not enough through a individualist, psychological lens. Idk. Does anyone else ever have these thoughts?
2020.06.19 05:47 edamame888Gaysians who are into gaysians dating experience in a Western country
I just wanted to get an idea how other's dating experience is like being a gay asian male who prefers dating other gay asian males in a Western country (im from Sydney, Australia). I find its a) hard to find gay asians b) finding a gaysian whose also into asians. In my city where the population is small already (on an international scale) its just very frustrating. This is before you even get into whether you're theyre type, personality, position 🙄.... How do you cope?
Dear Haresh & Terence, I’m happy that I discovered your podcast, I live in Germany and through your podcast I can still be updated about current issues in Singapore! Thank you a lot for your amazing work. I wanted to make 3 points about your last episodes: Racism I have friends with Asian background who grew up in Germany and almost on a daily basis they get reminded that looking Asian for many Germans is still not considered German, for example they get spoken to in English, because people don’t understand that we have an Asian Community in Germany as well. Therefore, I can understand the Australian Chef Sarah Tiong, I think it’s the same over there in Australia. You made a good point with “co-opting racism” though. Where does racism start? Is it only, when something negative is associated with the way you look? Or already when someone assumes you speak a certain language? I have the feeling it is such a sensitive issue, that many don’t differentiate between cultural appropriation and cultural appreciation anymore. Statue toppling About Raffles, I would be interested how you think about the Raffles exhibition which took place in Singapore last year. Was it depicting Raffles too positively? Did people really openly questioned, if one should topple his statues? How do young Singaporeans think about the history of Singapore and British Colonialization? It reminded me of an amazing artwork I saw at Singapore Biennale in 2016 by the young Singaporean artist Fyerool Darma (*1987). If you haven’t seen it, please have a look, I think you would love it. I even saw that people in Leicester UK want to topple a Gandhi statue, because he was racist against Africans, I would be interested about your opinion to that. Since you already mentioned Germans dark history and commemorative culture today, I just wanted to add, that there are some churches in Germany, where on the outside façade you can see the terrible andinsulting depiction of Jewish people in the form of a pig. There was a large discussion if they should be totally removed, because obviously they are anti-Semitic. But some of them date back to the 13th century and teach a great lesson about how Antisemitism actually developed in connection with Antijudaism. So as far as I know, in most cases, they supplemented those presentation with signs that clearly explain them and their antisemitism. Is there some approach in Singapore to install some signs next to statues too? I can’t remember from my last visit. Corona When it comes to corona, I would be interested to know if you assume that the pandemic will have an impact on social interaction in a long-term perspective. I have the feeling that for example in restaurants Service staff is now being treated with more respect than before. How is the situation in Singapore? Sorry for the very long text!!! Julia
2020.06.16 19:48 epicmylifeIs it ok to want to hold out for them?
I met my ex girlfriend the fall of my first year of college. We were young, we didn’t know how to have a real relationship, but we worked out well together. There were a few issues here and there but nothing that we couldn’t come out on top of. We were together two years and we really, really did love each other. I thought we’d stay together forever. I don’t think I’ve connected with or felt so close to anyone else before. She was going on a trip to Australia and Japan for one month as part of a January-term class. I was back on campus doing research for my degree. Two days before she flew out right after the new year I took her out for bunch. We had a great time and she told me it would be just a few weeks- that she would be back before I knew it. She flew out on her birthday so I wished her well, gave her a lil gift to take with, and with that she left. The first two weeks of the month went smooth. We talked. She told me how much she missed me and loved me and I did too. There was nothing out of the ordinary. But out of the blue, one night, she ended it. Just like that. Said that she was thinking about the future and didn’t want to graduate in a relationship so that she had all her options open. She didn’t want to date anyone until after we finished school in a year. I mean, I respect that. I can’t fault her for that. But I was so confused. She came back from her trip and we met up but by that time it was over. There was no going back. I respected her decision until I found out the ugly truth- she was already seeing a guy in his 5th year, 3 years older than her, who was in her major and on the trip with her since she was either gone or had come back. Now, not to dwell on this point, but none of her friends liked him. He was an unmotivated student and had a history of dating girls like my ex (who happened to be Asian) because of a fetish. On the outside he is an athletic, smooth talking guy but with a history of emotional abuse, I was worried for her. Something was up. And I get it, we’d been together for her entire college life and maybe she just wanted to explore more people. But I thought if you loved someone, that was unnecessary... It’s been what, 5 months now? She’s removed me off social media but we’re still friends on a few things. She wanted to keep a good relationship with me as we were best friends and shared so much together. There were a few arguments since the breakup and we decided to take some time apart until the school year. Nevertheless all the girls I’ve talked to since just don’t compare. Even if what she did was a mistake and rude to me the way she handled it I understand and forgive her. I’m just holding onto some hope that we can start talking again and she’ll remember all the good times we had and open up to trying again. I know it’s worked in the past so with the right dedication and good luck maybe it can happen to me too. The most important thing I keep in mind is that I can’t control what other people think of me. I have this dilemma- I want to keep distance from her not to harm what we have and give her the space she needs, but I also want to reach out because maybe we could reconnect and use this time to bond again. I know it’s unrealistic, but I want to hope.
2020.06.15 07:43 BlueSkyTechSilver ETFs A Vehicle To Economic Prosperity
As we go into another week of unpredictable markets I want you to think about the reasons you should buy the PSLV ETF or call options on the SLV ETFfor 36 USD on 1/21. Silver in its bullion form is less common than gold, while estimates of above ground bullion vary there is likely between 2-3 billion ounces of silver bars and coins. The mining ratio of silver to gold is currently 9-1 while the estimated reserves in the earth crust is 17-1. Silver is rarely found in concentrated deposits like gold except in a few places, this is one of the reasons that should silver rise in value it will take some time for mining to catch up with demand. Additionally, since silver’s USD value is still the same as it was in the 80s without adjusting for inflation, it is difficult to keep mines profitable so many have closed. Silver’s primary consumption comes from industrial use, until the 00s the majority demand came from photo chemistry, but now photovoltaic cells, computers, and electronics take most quantities. Since Silver is the most conductive element for both heat and electrons, there will continue to be industrial demand for silver even when prices rise. Historically governments like the US would carry stockpiles of silver as they did gold but in the 80s and 90s the US government sold their stockpile to industry, this same sell-off has occurred for many countries. As more and more silver has been used for industry much of it has been “consumed” and is now dispersed in ways that are unrecoverable or in landfills. It is difficult to find out how much silver has been depleted but it is estimated that there were over 5 billion ounces of silver bullion in the 1960s above ground and we know there is much less today due to industry use. Additionally, easy to extract deposits have slowly been producing less silver per ton of rock processed, so every year there is a higher cost to mining meanwhile silver continues to have less purchasing power since the 1980s. Stepping away from silver for a moment let's talk about the macro situation facing United States citizens. While most people do not talk about it everyone knows the United States reaps great benefit from the USD being the world reserve currency. This reserve status is written into western central bank laws that until recently could only back their fractional reserve banking system with USD and US treasuries. Now under the Basel III accords central banks will be able to fully back their reserve banking systems with gold which is bullish for precious metals. While the USD is still the main world reserve currency, the national debt has been able to double every 10 years for nearly fifty years while the purchasing power of the dollar remains steady. This means that even though China produces much of the physical goods consumed in the world, and while the US has a trade deficit with most countries, you wouldn’t know it because the US dollar can still purchase a ton of real physical commodities. One of the big reasons the government debt can keep increasing is because dollar denominated debt across the world is increasing; as the US inflates the money supply it actually helps states within its alliances so that they can pay down their dollar denominated debts. Additionally, the US needs the dollar to weaken so that foreign nations never run into a situation where their own currency cannot purchase dollars to service their dollar debt. This last point is really quite important, the Asian financial crisis in the 90s was caused because of a strong dollar, and once again we find the dollar strong as nations across the world are having a hard time servicing their dollar denominated debt; that is unless they have access to dollars through the feds newly created swap lines. These swap lines do two things, they get dollars in the hands of allies that need them, and they help prop up the treasury market which started to fail even before COVID: yes governments across the world stopped buying treasuries before COVID started! The US, much like Japan, can now only find purchasers for its government debt through its central bank which is a terrible situation to be in. So today in the midst of COVID, 25-30 million people are without a job if you include PPP workers. In this environment we do not have many options, the government will have to continue to print money as will many governments around the world. This simple situation is bullish for gold price alone but when you factor in the probable collapse of the US dollar, due to the world losing confidence in our currency, then being exposed to precious metals as a US citizen is imperative to your financial safety. Now why silver over gold? Well I first explained to you the fundamentals for physical silver and demand but what I haven’t talked about is the silver price manipulation in the trading markets. Until 2016 the two markets that controlled silver and gold spot price where the gold fix in England and the COMEX futures trading desk in New York. The London Gold fix has existed for over 100 years while the COMEX was only formed in the 1970s after Nixon closed the gold window and worked with Saudi Arabia to form the petroleum dollar. The way the petro dollar works is this, Saudi Arabia only accepts USD for oil and then gives their USD to the bullion banks that steward the COMEX who in turn help Saudi Arabia purchase leasing rights for future precious metals production in mines across the world. Effectively the USD is still backed by gold through this agreement with Saudi Arabia which is now coming to an end. Saudi Arabia is now accepting oil purchases in the Chinese RMB, this is a bad sign for the petro dollar and a reason that the low price of gold in USD cannot continue. You see the COMEX future trading desk has been used by the large banks, probably backed by the government, to lower the price of precious metals against the USD so that the petro dollar arrangement with Saudi Arabia can function. This is one of the reasons until six months ago that the price of oil always rose and fell exactly with the dollar. However, in 2016 China started its own spot price market in Shanghai and there is now a Shanghai gold fix. As Saudi Arabia can now buy gold with the Chinese RMB this is one of the big reasons that they are taking RMB as payment for oil. Additionally the Shanghai gold fix gives China some power to control the price of precious metals which they can weaponize should they decide to. China, Saudi Arabia, and to a lesser extent Russia, have been hoarding and stockpiling gold for years but not reporting their holdings to the UN or IMF. As such it is very likely that these countries will do quite well once the dollar is no longer the reserve currency. Many western countries outside the classic axis powers (Germany and Italy), France, and Switzerland do not have large gold reserves. In fact Britain sold off half their reserves when Gordon Brown was their PM which will probably go down as the stupidest move in a long history of bad moves, yes the country that started the original gold fix does not own that much of the precious metal. The rest of the English speaking world, except for America, does not have much gold either; Ireland, Canada, and Australia barely have any reserves. So do you expect the gold price to rise and are you planning to purchase some exposure? If you say yes then I would have you pay attention to the fact that gold is worth six-seven times what it was in 2001 but silver is still the same USD value that is was in the 80s. Additionally, the amount of money invested in the silver bullion market is a fraction of the gold market, this is at the same time that the bullion banks have short silver positions larger than that of their short positions in gold. Men like Ted Butler have done a good job documenting the shorting of silver over the past 20-30 years, suffice to say it is a fact that the CFTC does not enforce their own rules upon the bullion banks. JPMorgan has had traders of their precious metals desk convicted of felonies in recent years for market manipulation while JPMorgan as also amassed one of the largest silver stock piles in the world. If you look at both instances of silver’s historical breakouts in 1980 and 2011, you will see that 20.50 USD is an important resistance point. Once silver crosses this threshold it should move very fast. While you can, you should split your precious metal investments between 50 percent physical silver and call options on the SLV ETF, my recommendation on call options is to buy the highest out the money options for Jan 2021 but roll those options out to a later date if silver has not started moving past 20.50 USD by October or early November. If you are interested in learning more about the large silver price manipulation on the COMEX futures market take a look at the documentation online by Ted Butler, Ed Steer, and Bert Chilton. If you have any questions feel free to reach out as I love talking about this stuff.
2020.06.15 07:35 BlueSkyTechSLV Options A Vehicle To Economic Prosperity And Insanity
As we go into another week of unpredictable markets I want you to think about the reasons you should buy call options on the SLV ETFfor 36 USD on 1/21. Silver in its bullion form is less common than gold, while estimates of above ground bullion vary there is likely between 2-3 billion ounces of silver bars and coins. The mining ratio of silver to gold is currently 9-1 while the estimated reserves in the earth crust is 17-1. Silver is rarely found in concentrated deposits like gold except in a few places, this is one of the reasons that should silver rise in value it will take some time for mining to catch up with demand. Additionally, since silver’s USD value is still the same as it was in the 80s without adjusting for inflation, it is difficult to keep mines profitable so many have closed. Silver’s primary consumption comes from industrial use, until the 00s the majority demand came from photo chemistry, but now photovoltaic cells, computers, and electronics take most quantities. Since Silver is the most conductive element for both heat and electrons, there will continue to be industrial demand for silver even when prices rise. Historically governments like the US would carry stockpiles of silver as they did gold but in the 80s and 90s the US government sold their stockpile to industry, this same sell-off has occurred for many countries. As more and more silver has been used for industry much of it has been “consumed” and is now dispersed in ways that are unrecoverable or in landfills. It is difficult to find out how much silver has been depleted but it is estimated that there were over 5 billion ounces of silver bullion in the 1960s above ground and we know there is much less today due to industry use. Additionally, easy to extract deposits have slowly been producing less silver per ton of rock processed, so every year there is a higher cost to mining meanwhile silver continues to have less purchasing power since the 1980s. Stepping away from silver for a moment let's talk about the macro situation facing United States citizens. While most people do not talk about it everyone knows the United States reaps great benefit from the USD being the world reserve currency. This reserve status is written into western central bank laws that until recently could only back their fractional reserve banking system with USD and US treasuries. Now under the Basel III accords central banks will be able to fully back their reserve banking systems with gold which is bullish for precious metals. While the USD is still the main world reserve currency, the national debt has been able to double every 10 years for nearly fifty years while the purchasing power of the dollar remains steady. This means that even though China produces much of the physical goods consumed in the world, and while the US has a trade deficit with most countries, you wouldn’t know it because the US dollar can still purchase a ton of real physical commodities. One of the big reasons the government debt can keep increasing is because dollar denominated debt across the world is increasing; as the US inflates the money supply it actually helps states within its alliances so that they can pay down their dollar denominated debts. Additionally, the US needs the dollar to weaken so that foreign nations never run into a situation where their own currency cannot purchase dollars to service their dollar debt. This last point is really quite important, the Asian financial crisis in the 90s was caused because of a strong dollar, and once again we find the dollar strong as nations across the world are having a hard time servicing their dollar denominated debt; that is unless they have access to dollars through the feds newly created swap lines. These swap lines do two things, they get dollars in the hands of allies that need them, and they help prop up the treasury market which started to fail even before COVID: yes governments across the world stopped buying treasuries before COVID started! The US, much like Japan, can now only find purchasers for its government debt through its central bank which is a terrible situation to be in. So today in the midst of COVID, 25-30 million people are without a job if you include PPP workers. In this environment we do not have many options, the government will have to continue to print money as will many governments around the world. This simple situation is bullish for gold price alone but when you factor in the probable collapse of the US dollar, due to the world losing confidence in our currency, then being exposed to precious metals as a US citizen is imperative to your financial safety. Now why silver over gold? Well I first explained to you the fundamentals for physical silver and demand but what I haven’t talked about is the silver price manipulation in the trading markets. Until 2016 the two markets that controlled silver and gold spot price where the gold fix in England and the COMEX futures trading desk in New York. The London Gold fix has existed for over 100 years while the COMEX was only formed in the 1970s after Nixon closed the gold window and worked with Saudi Arabia to form the petroleum dollar. The way the petro dollar works is this, Saudi Arabia only accepts USD for oil and then gives their USD to the bullion banks that steward the COMEX who in turn help Saudi Arabia purchase leasing rights for future precious metals production in mines across the world. Effectively the USD is still backed by gold through this agreement with Saudi Arabia which is now coming to an end. Saudi Arabia is now accepting oil purchases in the Chinese RMB, this is a bad sign for the petro dollar and a reason that the low price of gold in USD cannot continue. You see the COMEX future trading desk has been used by the large banks, probably backed by the government, to lower the price of precious metals against the USD so that the petro dollar arrangement with Saudi Arabia can function. This is one of the reasons until six months ago that the price of oil always rose and fell exactly with the dollar. However, in 2016 China started its own spot price market in Shanghai and there is now a Shanghai gold fix. As Saudi Arabia can now buy gold with the Chinese RMB this is one of the big reasons that they are taking RMB as payment for oil. Additionally the Shanghai gold fix gives China some power to control the price of precious metals which they can weaponize should they decide to. China, Saudi Arabia, and to a lesser extent Russia, have been hoarding and stockpiling gold for years but not reporting their holdings to the UN or IMF. As such it is very likely that these countries will do quite well once the dollar is no longer the reserve currency. Many western countries outside the classic axis powers (Germany and Italy), France, and Switzerland do not have large gold reserves. In fact Britain sold off half their reserves when Gordon Brown was their PM which will probably go down as the stupidest move in a long history of bad moves, yes the country that started the original gold fix does not own that much of the precious metal. The rest of the English speaking world, except for America, does not have much gold either; Ireland, Canada, and Australia barely have any reserves. So do you expect the gold price to rise and are you planning to purchase some exposure? If you say yes then I would have you pay attention to the fact that gold is worth six-seven times what it was in 2001 but silver is still the same USD value that is was in the 80s. Additionally, the amount of money invested in the silver bullion market is a fraction of the gold market, this is at the same time that the bullion banks have short silver positions larger than that of their short positions in gold. Men like Ted Butler have done a good job documenting the shorting of silver over the past 20-30 years, suffice to say it is a fact that the CFTC does not enforce their own rules upon the bullion banks. JPMorgan has had traders of their precious metals desk convicted of felonies in recent years for market manipulation while JPMorgan as also amassed one of the largest silver stock piles in the world. If you look at both instances of silver’s historical breakouts in 1980 and 2011, you will see that 20.50 USD is an important resistance point. Once silver crosses this threshold it should move very fast. While you can, you should split your precious metal investments between 50 percent physical silver and call options on the SLV ETF, my recommendation on call options is to buy the highest out the money options for Jan 2021 but roll those options out to a later date if silver has not started moving past 20.50 USD by October or early November. If you are interested in learning more about the large silver price manipulation on the COMEX futures market take a look at the documentation online by Ted Butler, Ed Steer, and Bert Chilton. If you have any questions feel free to reach out as I love talking about this stuff.
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